Phoenix and Tucson are growing because businesses and people are leaving
California. The same with Nevada, Colorado, Idaho, and Texas.The
problem is these people will likely vote in politicians like the ones they left
I can testify Phoenix was a nightmare to hitchhike out of long before it ever
merged with Tucson.
We drove to Tucson last October and the distance between the Phoenix suburbs and
Tucson is still enormous. The question of whether they will meet in 20 years
seems rather ridiculous.
There’s a lot of miles of saguaro between them.
As John Wesley Powell said, there isn't enough water in the west to support
large populations. Where will they get the water?
There are two different issues here, not to be confused. First,
will the greater Phoenix metro area grow large enough to reach Tucson. This is
entirely possible, as we have seen in many other metro areas, including here
along the Wasatch Front. In fact, only some difficult geography at the Point of
the Mountain will keep the Salt Lake metro area from completely merging with the
Utah County Metro area; the merger has already happened to the north.Second, will the city governments actually merge. This is highly unlikely.
History has shown that in large metropolitan conglomerations such as this, the
individual municipalities almost always retain their individual identities,
especially when separated by as much distance as Phoenix and Tucson.
I sure hope they don't merge. It is nice to have some space between cities,
although the particular space between Phoenix and Tucson isn't the
prettiest. Tucson itself is beautiful; we used to live there. We moved from
Tucson to Virginia nearly 21 years ago. Last visit was 2 years ago and there was
still plenty of space between them just like there was in 1998; 2040 is only
about 21 years into our future so I highly doubt they will merge.
Growth destroys the reason why people located to an area in the 1st place.
Texas is hot enough. Why so many people want to live in a frying pan like AZ is
beyond me. :P