Here's my dream scenario of all the likely options:Portland
keeps winning and Houston drops 2-3 games (possible with Philly, Kings, Clips,
and OKC on the schedule). The Clips keep winning and Jazz tank (gasp) the last
1-2 games to get the 6 seed.That would make it:1. GS2.
Nuggets3. Portland4. Kings5. Clippers6. Jazz7.
Spurs8. OKCJazz vs Portland in Round 1 (Advantage Jazz)Jazz vs. Denver/Spurs in Round 2.I like them odds!
Another projection site not mentioned in the article is teamrankings.comThe current NBA projections in the West are as followsGolden
State: 56.3-25.7 (56-26)Denver: 54.1-27.9 (54-28)Houston: 52.3-29.7
(52-30)Portland: 51.6-30.4 (52-30)Utah: 50.2-31.8 (50-32)LA
Clippers: 48.9-33.1 (49-33)San Antonio: 47.1-34.9 (47-35)Oklahoma
City: 46.8-35.2 (47-35)
KellenJW, Actually, Utah has the tiebreaker vs Portland. They have
a split record and Utah has a better record in division at 7-8. Portland has 9
loses in division and still has to play Denver twice. If Utah ties Portland in
win loses, they are going to have to win most if not all of their games and
Portland will probably have to lose at least once to Denver. Utah would win the
tiebreaker.Houston has tiebreaker no matter what happens the rest of
the way. Division winner gets first tie breaker. Regardless of conference
record (which Utah would probably be better if they caught Houston. Similar to
Portland situation), Houston will get the tie breaker. Utah gets punished for
being in a significantly better division.
I have to admit I'm quite surprised at OKC's free fall. If they end up
playing Golden State it would deprive the Warriors of an easy first round.
Portland owns the tiebreaker, and they are two games ahead, so it is unlikely
that the Jazz will pass them, unless Portland has a complete collapse. Both teams have six games left. The Jazz play five easy teams, and one
(Denver) that will be tough. If the Jazz go 5-1, then Portland would need to go
2-4 in order for the Jazz to pass them. With three easy opponents in the last
six, that is unlikely. Portland will find a way to win at least three. For the third year in a row, the Jazz will have to win the first round as
The Jazz need to play GSW or Houston other than in the first round, to give them
an opportunity for one of their key players to get injured before the Jazz play
Jody - you forgot a major piece here... who has the tiebreaker if the jazz can
make up 2 games in Portland?
Anyone but Houston.