Jay, so tired of articles like this. You mentioned technology heading off the
"disaster" of overpopulation. What makes you think technology and
innovation won't head off the "disaster" of dropping fertility
rates?With AI and automation becoming more prevalent, the need for more
workers will probably decrease. I would argue that having a larger population
will just mean we have more unemployed/underemployed people as traditional jobs
disappear and automation/AI takes over. For example, I just switched from a
financial planner to a robot investor (sorry Edward Jones).Let's face
it, not everyone is inclined to take on a technology driven job. And those that
don't, might be left out.
Jay - you just outlined a very good argument why our immigration policy is bad.
Your premise is that the only way to build a population is by the local
population replenishing itself. And in a more isolationist world, that could
be true. Add to that, parents don't have and raise kids to have them
become the "servant" class - we hope and pray our kids out do and have
better than we have.Here is the problem with this argument. It
subconsciously assumes that the only way for our society to replenish itself is
for white families have more white kids. The idea that this replenishment could
be achieved by little latin families legally coming to the states to start their
climb up that ladder is not an option. They can't rebuild the tax payer
base. They can't be part of our armed services. The idea of the US
growing via non-europeans based growth isn't acceptable to many.There are millions of those who would love to come to this country LEGALLY to
achieve the blessings we already enjoy. But that isn't on the table.....
and we all know why that it..... either consciously or subconsciously.Not pointing a finger at Jay - it's just how our society works.
"The entire world" is not going to lose population in my lifetime. Some
bits of it might. The resources of this planet are finite. We have to come up
with a different definition of success than more people, more consumers, more
Some things to think about: 1) Karl Marx demonstrates is his work
"Capital" that capitalism needs continual growth to survive (both GDP
and population). 2) Capital in large part controls population and has
successfully grown the global proletariat by 2.5 Billion people the last 30
years (mostly in Asia), so why is Jay worried? 3) However any great changes to
population dynamics could create unexpected changes in economics and politics.
US fertility hit an all time low in 2016, 2006 and 1976 depending on what
measurement you use. Thos wishing to increase immigration use the one most
favorable to their agenda. The truth is, from 1970 to 2010 our population grew
by 100 million people.
Simply put we live on a finite planet. Exponential growth forever is
unsustainable and undesirable. We have to find an economic way to work with a
stable population. Was a time I could go to my favorite camping area
in the Uintas on Friday after work and find a decent spot. Now I need to go on
Wednesday or I am out of luck.
"At this rate the world population will be over 30 billion people"Just because it's easy to deceive with statistics doesn't make
it right. Every intelligent person realizes that the rate is not constant.
That's a major point of the article, that growth has slowed significantly.
I am sure that a declining population will have its challenges, and I agree with
Jay the world has adapted better than it could have, primarily due to progress
and technological innovation. But though population growth itself
may result in economic benefits, surely this isn't all we should be
thinking about? All would agree that population growth poses its own seeming
insurmountable challenges (like Florida melting into the Atlantic by year 2100
due to climate change). Even if you don't believe in climate
change (science), you still see the problems Utah faces as we see a more drought
and an increasing population demanding water. These problems are not easy. So
who is to say that a population decline will be any harder? A famous
author once said, "growth for the sake of growth is the ideology of a cancer
cell." Hopefully, humankind strives to be more than just a cancer.
People tend to take a trend and extrapolate it to absurdity. Malthus did it and
alarmists on both sides of this debate are still doing it. There may be some
population contraction but it will stabilize. Some cultures will shrink
dramatically before that happens while others will grow. European culture may be
swallowed up by a more dynamic, growing Islamic society. It's cultural
suicide to have a birth rate lower than replacement.
The family is the basic building block of our society. If there are no families
then society disintegrates. Family life with a mom (female) and a dad (male)
who are married and their children is the basis for a healthy society. Men who
love their wives and are faithful, and women who love their husbands and are
faithful, and children who are reared with high moral values and standards make
our nation strong. Our nation needs to promote marriage between a man and a
woman and to give incentives or substantial tax breaks for those couples who
have children and specifically those who have more than 2 children. We need to
become a family friendly nation. A nation that values stay-at-home moms who
play a critical role in nurturing families and giving the adult supervision that
all children need including teenagers. Another part of the solution is to make
immigration happen with the stipulation that the immediate family comes and
immigrates together, that way we have people who are surrounded by those they
love and they will do better in society--less likely to end up in trouble-- and
they will not be sending out all the money they make to their families in
Easy short-term (next 20 years) solution. Immigration (USA is the one country
everyone wants to immigrate to, not from). But we need immigrants who will pay
FICA taxes, not immigrants who take mon
In 1866 when my grandfather was born the world's population was about 1.4
billion people. Since then our population has grown to 7.6 billion. In recent
years the population has been doubling every 50 years or so.At this
rate the world population will be over 30 billion people in the life time of
some our children, and definitely in the life our grandchildren!