Jay Evensen: In predicting the future, we seem to miss the most obvious trends

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  • Daniel L. Murray, UT
    April 24, 2014 4:31 p.m.

    I think the article was really good. The future social trends in our society are more important than the technological advancements made. Our technology has not rid us of despots, dictators and militant tyrants that still rule parts of our world.

    We need to remember that current social behavior does drive our future - and not all behaviors lead towards greater freedom and opportunity.

  • FT salt lake city, UT
    April 24, 2014 2:45 p.m.

    @ Montanman
    If you want to become Secretary of Commerce you should be aware of some key facts.
    Corporations are not contributing to job growth and haven't for decades. In fact, they are shedding jobs. The GAO reported earlier last year that the effective Federal tax rate paid by large corporations in 2010 was 12.6%, versus a nominal rate of 35%. And roughly 10% of large companies pay no Federal tax at all.
    Globally, the United States is still considered one of the best places to start a business.

  • Mountanman Hayden, ID
    April 24, 2014 9:24 a.m.

    Marxist, We have the highest corporate taxes in the world! Do you suppose, just maybe, that is a big reason so many jobs are shipped overseas? Canada, for example, has a top corporate tax rate of 16%, roughly half of the US corporate tax rate. Now, consider if you were even thinking of investing in any business in America, would you really risk it? Really? Obviously not many are willing to make those investments, create jobs and who can blame them? The medium income of Americans has fallen since Obama became our President. Why? NO decent JOBS, period! Your government has become hostile to investment in America. Instead all we have is more socialism with NO one to pay for the entitlements! So, we have borrowed $17.4 trillion from our grandchildren to fund them. That is the real worry.

  • marxist Salt Lake City, UT
    April 24, 2014 9:06 a.m.

    @Thid Males are losing out in large part because the kinds of jobs they like - particularly heavy industry - have been shipped out of the country. So men now have to compete on female turf, and its a tough affair. This in turn makes it hard for them (men) to form households and be attractive to women. This is, BTW, much of the reason for the deteriorating family which LDS wring their hands over. It's a real worry, but appreciate that much of it is caused by our current version of capitalism.

  • Hutterite American Fork, UT
    April 24, 2014 8:54 a.m.

    It takes a fair amount of chutzpah to claim we are nowhere near 'earths' carrying capacity' and that obesity is a major health issue today while ignoring the much larger issue of malnutrition among billions of us, a product of grossly unequal distribution of what resources we have. Another issue someone who thumps a conservative religious tub has to ignore is the decimation of our middle class and the destruction of our social support structure, now all labelled as the hated socialism. We can gut our society, but we can't wonder why it fails after that.

  • Badgerbadger Murray, UT
    April 24, 2014 8:26 a.m.

    Great insights! I remember the prediction of starvation from Asimov, a most respected scientist of his day.

    Now we have predictions of perishing from global warming, from our distinguished scientists. I don't think we need to be worried about that either.

    We are self destructing of our own choices to destroy the family. Global warming will fade away and not matter compared to the challenges of an inept and spoiled generation we are raising to care for us in our old age.

  • samhill Salt Lake City, UT
    April 24, 2014 8:07 a.m.

    Jay makes a point that has too little attention for a long time.

    How ironic that all the more typical objects of prediction (flying/driverless cars, 3D TVs, medical marvels, etc.) depend on stable, educated, energetic, productive people to produce them, while relatively little attention is paid to importance of fostering the institutions that produce people with those attributes. In political parlance those things that are referred to, often dismissively, as "Social" issues.

    Like the effect on a building of a crumbling foundation, the decline in our society's valuation of family structure is having and will increasingly have a **disastrous** effect on our civilization. And the worst effects won't be the failure to make all the nifty gadgets so fondly anticipated by some.

  • Thid Barker Victor, ID
    April 24, 2014 7:27 a.m.

    Why will some people be poor in their lives? "Boys are losing ground in education and, by extension, the workforce. Women outnumber men as college graduates, and the gap is widening. Uneducated young men, meanwhile, are finding it difficult to find work that pays them enough to start a family."

    There in large measure, is your answer Marxist. War on women? Not at all!

  • marxist Salt Lake City, UT
    April 24, 2014 12:49 a.m.

    Jay, a trend to which you as a conservative cannot pay any attention to, is the increasing concentration of wealth to the upper most tier. Could you at least acknowledge that such is going on?

    What will be the consequences if this trend continues? I'll take a shot at answering that - the consequence will be the end of our system. What comes out the other side could be better, or a whole lot worse.