Campaigns to focus on 16 states in the race to 270

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  • Something to think about Ogden, UT
    April 16, 2012 9:30 a.m.

    Why is Utah not an important battle ground state? Because we don't matter! We get ignored by the Democrats because they struggle to win here and the Republicans ingore us because they know they have us in the bag!

    It's a huge frustration to be so predictable that we loose out on all fronts!

  • christoph Brigham City, UT
    April 15, 2012 9:34 p.m.

    Pres. Obama was elected in 2008 to reform health care(he rammed nothing through---campaigned for the presidency for 18 months); no surprises with his actions. It may be considered un-constitutional in June by the Court, in which case Pres. Obama wins in a landslide in November.

  • greenman108 Petaluma, CA
    April 15, 2012 8:40 p.m.

    Does the AP think the 2010 midterms were meaningless? Did we forget about the ramming through of Obamacare?

    1. only 36% of registered voters voted in 2010. It will be more like 70% in a general election.

    2. We elected members of Congress to do the people's bidding. More congressmen voted for the bill than voted against it. Back home, we think of that as Democracy in Action. Its not ramming it home. That is a dramatic metaphor with no action import. It was by more than majority vote. Sure you may not like some provisions, but most people like most provisions. Only 1/3 dont like it and want it gone. 1/3rd wanted the public option and dont think this bill went far enough. 1/3 like what we got, pretty much.

  • atl134 Salt Lake City, UT
    April 15, 2012 8:02 p.m.

    "Does the AP think the 2010 midterms were meaningless?"

    They are meaningless when you're asking people about 2012 and these polls are what they are saying. Fact is people are not impressed with the republicans they voted in and the reason Obama leads in almost every poll is because his favorable/unfavorables are around 47-48 while Romneys' are around 40-50.

  • Howard Beal Provo, UT
    April 15, 2012 7:26 p.m.

    Never predict an election, we should have learned that from 2000. And certainly, it way too far out to even predict how these swing states will go. If gasoline is $5 plus a gallon, not good for Obama. If the economy recovers, good for Obama. Of course, there could be any number of political crises across the globe. A skeleton could be found in someone's closet. Again, much too early to predict and with our instant news cycle, one can't be comfortable of anything until maybe Monday night before the election. Then again, that would just be a maybe...

  • Henry Drummond San Jose, CA
    April 15, 2012 5:49 p.m.

    Insightful article, but I think it is missing one important issue. The very thing the Republicans think is going to help them in this election is going to sink them and that unemployment. This is because Romney has consistently opposed the federal assistance to these hard hit states. People in Michigan are not going to remember that George Romney was a popular governor fifty years ago, they are going to remember that Mitt Romney opposed the bailout of the auto industry three years ago. That's why he is behind in almost all of these states with high unemployment.

  • LovemesomeCougars LAYTON, UT
    April 15, 2012 3:37 p.m.

    The AP would love for voters to forget about the 2010 midterm elections, Obamacare, the jobless recovery, etc.

    Recently, Dean Singleton, chairman of the Associated Press board, introduced President Obama at a speech to news editors in Washington. But Singleton didn’t just tell the audience the president was the next speaker—he offered lavish praise for Obama while reading a statement that sounded like a 2012 reelection ad.

    Does the AP think the 2010 midterms were meaningless? Did we forget about the ramming through of Obamacare?

    Obama has been a disaster. The liberal media helped elect him by ignoring his inexperience and radical associations, but now he has a record.

  • williary Kearns, UT
    April 15, 2012 1:00 p.m.

    Important to look at this type of information, as opposed to polls. This shows the huge uphill battle Romney has ahead of him. Obama is searching for 29 more votes, Romney needs 89. Romney better start with Florida, because right now, that’s the only state Obama needs to swing to end this. That would be a start.
    I think this map looked a lot different before the GOP primary, pre-Conservative puppet Mitt. The Ryan budget will kill him in Florida. His anti-immigration policy will hurt in Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico. Mitt’s “Santorum” social views will hurt him in Ohio and New Hampshire. And the GOP’s attack on women will pretty much put the election away for Obama. Independents who would have been more supportive of Mitt 6 months ago, are scrambling back to Obama as the GOP has pulled Mitt in.

  • atl134 Salt Lake City, UT
    April 15, 2012 10:20 a.m.

    Ohio, Virginia and Florida. Those three are the most important. Something like no president in 50 years has won without taking at least two of them. All three have Republican governors that have angered their constituents (Kasich's union bill that was overturned, McDonnells ultrasound bill, and Scott's... they just don't like Scott but Romney's embrace of the Ryan budget as well as Ryan possibly being VP means the Ryan budget becomes a key issue in the senior state).

  • JBQ Saint Louis, MO
    April 15, 2012 9:15 a.m.

    Very good analysis. It appears that if one state can be singled out as the "keystone", it would be Florida with lots of retired folks and Hispanic voters.

  • Mark B Eureka, CA
    April 14, 2012 10:28 p.m.

    Thanks for including this article. Looking at day-to-day polls can make a person forget that the election is won state by state. A good follow up would be to show where the parties are strong from an organizational standpoint, and where they are weak, depending on a windfall of outside cash to save the day.