Enrollment in Jordan District elementary schools will continue to decline over the next four years, while the high school population growth on the west side of the district is expected to outpace the rest of the district.
But overall, the growth boom has abated from its all-time high in the late 1970s, said administrator Earl Stuker. "Historically, we've thought we were a fast-growing district. We need to have a different mind-set," Stuker told the board of trustees Tuesday night.An enrollment "bulge" is moving through the district's schools faster than new students are enrolling, Stuker said. By 1994, graduating seniors will outnumber entering kindergartners - a first for Jordan.
A sluggish economy has contributed to the enrollment slowdown, administrators say. The north end of the district experienced the greatest 10-year decline in enrollment since 1980, with a 24 percent drop in kindergarten enrollment.
The district's south-end schools enrolled 5 percent fewer students than in 1980, Stuker said.
But on the west side, enrollment jumped 93 percent, Stuker said, and by 1995, the district will have to have plans in place to ease crowding at Bingham and West Jordan high schools.
Stuker noted that the growth projections were based on assumptions made in relation to the current economy. "If the economy just twitches its ear, (the report) is all off and you (will have to) do another one," he said.
But if the economy does turn around, the relatively unbuilt west side would see the most growth in the district, Stuker said. "The `sleeping giant' is still waiting "with all those thousands of acres to build on," he said.