Published: Monday, July 7 2014 12:00 a.m. MDT
Is the writer's point that global warming is not occurring, or that such is
occurring but is not causing an increase in extreme weather events? Remember,
we just had the typhoon of the century in southeast Asia. According to the American Geophysical Union "Up to $106 billion worth of
coastal homes and businesses in the U.S. are likely to be underwater by the year
2050 due to rising sea levels,.." occasioned by warming. Warming leads to
increased evaporation, more water in the air and more violent storms, so the
There are claims made by those who aren't scientists but consider climate
change to be a serious problem that are incorrect. An example: people saying
that tornadoes will increase, however, the IPCC report says that there's no
statistically significant link with tornadoes and climate change. "Over the last five decades, we have been hit by 5.6 hurricanes whereas
the preceding five decades the average was 8.4 hurricanes."We've had 54 the past 5 decades (1964-2013), 72 between 1914-1963. Give
or take 2 since I was counting from a NOAA FAQ chart on the 'complete list
of continental U.S. landfalling hurricanes and I might have missed or
overcounted one. "In the 1930s, half of the states set new
record highs. Since 2000, only one state recorded a record high. "That is incorrect. States that set record annual temperature highs in just the
year 2012: Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New
York, New Jersey, Delaware, Ohio, Illinois, Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas,
Nebraska, South Dakota, Wyoming, New Mexico, Utah (and the contiguous 48 as a
It's lazy to deny climate change.
The climate is changing, its getting cooler, not warmer! Based on moving 5-year
averages of U.S. monthly temperature anomalies, America's continental
climate is currently cooling at a minus 1.2 degrees F per century rate.
It's just another case of 'those stubborn facts' being mighty
inconvenient. As the latest NOAA empirical dataset clearly indicates: "The
hottest U.S. months took place in the 1930's when C02 was very low".
We must not forget that the whole AGW scam started with the only idea and
that’s to make money! Remember the Y2K bug? The CFC’s killing the
Ozone? Peak-oil? As PT Barnum once said, "There is another sucker born every
minute". Those who still believe in the scam probably didn't get the
memo from NASA that solar activity is in a decreasing cycle and is the reason
the earth is now cooling!
This letter is full of errors -- Rather than look up and refract them, Let's pick it apart based on the letter alone --- ----Seventy hurricanes hit the U.S. between 1911 and 2010. Over the last five decades, we have been hit by 5.6 hurricanes whereas
the preceding five decades the average was 8.4 hurricanes. [5.6
hurricanes + 8.4 hurricanes = 14 hurricanes]Since 2000, only one
state recorded a record high. [You do not watch the local nightly Weather,
we set and break records all the time.]Before we jump to
conclusions, let's look at the facts. [WE do, it appears you do
not]Based on data, global warming is not increasing extreme weather
events.[OK, but you have to start with REAL data, first.]
I think it's a safe bet that Kevin is going to be denounced as a
"Denier" of the prophecies of Global Warming doom on these pages today.
He should know better than to even question the people who believe.
Bottom line for conservatives: "Let's continue to stink up the
air--full speed ahead!"
Re: "Bottom line for conservatives: 'Let's continue to stink up
the air--full speed ahead!'"It's ironic that some
people who believe they're smart enough that we should pay attention to
their comments still believe that carbon dioxide has a smell. Or that it can be
seen in the air around the Wasatch Front. Or that it causes breathing
Nice job of cherry-picking both random facts and random fantasy. Some of your
numbers don't add up. Come on, DN editors, can't you do the simple
math and just chuck a letter like this rather than print it? Oh, I get it--it
denies climate science, therefore it has to be printed.
"Over the last five decades, we have been hit by 5.6 hurricanes whereas the
preceding five decades the average was 8.4 hurricanes. [5.6
hurricanes + 8.4 hurricanes = 14 hurricanes]"(5.6 average/decade
x 5 decades) + (8.4 average /decade x 5 decades)= 28 + 42 = 70Story problems are such a bite. Now if you are going to pick his letter apart
the facts do matter. It is important to understand what is being said to make an
argument against it. Was he right or wrong about the last 10 decades?
"Before we jump to conclusions, let's look at the facts."Sounds good, Kevin. Let's start with the "fact" that the area
you've chosen to analyze (the US) constitutes roughly 1%-2% of the surface
area of our planet. Therefore, your analysis is severely narrow and
detrimentally myopic in it's ability to extrapolate any sort of
conclusion/deduction towards the discussion of global anthropogenic climate
Okay, I went to an online hurricane archive, and here are the figures for the
North Atlantic for the past 100 years, starting in 2012 and working backward in
10-year increments:2003-2012 831993-2002 691983-1992
501973-1982 531963-1972 601953-1962 591943-1952
631933-1942 491923-1932 401913-1922 39Okay,
call me silly, but it looks to me like a definite uptick in the past two
decades. What does this prove? Well, that depends on your politics.
A 49 degree day in the month of June. Have a nice day.
@jsf"Was he right or wrong about the last 10 decades?"His numbers seem a bit off, and he's only counting category 3+ landfalls
instead of "hurricanes", but the ratio is roughly correct.The state heat record thing is way off.@Mountanman"Based
on moving 5-year averages of U.S. monthly temperature anomalies, America's
continental climate is currently cooling at a minus 1.2 degrees F per century
rate."The continental US has warmed by around 1.3F the past
century. You used a cherrypicked 14 year sample size (2000-2013). And I'm
not sure why people use selective small sample sizes over 1-2% of the surface of
the Earth to say global warming doesn't exist and that we're in some
According to NASA, the Earth's climate has changed throughout history. In
the last 650,000 years there have been seven cycles of glacial advance and
retreat, with the abrupt end of the last ice age about 7,000 years ago marking
the beginning of the modern climate era — and of human civilization. The
current warming trend is of particular significance because most of it is very
likely human-induced and proceeding at a rate that is unprecedented in the past
1,300 years.Global sea level rose about 17 centimeters (6.7 inches)
in the last century. All three major global surface temperature
reconstructions show that Earth has warmed since 1880. The oceans
have absorbed much of this increased heat, with the top 700 meters (about 2,300
feet) of ocean showing warming of 0.302 degrees Fahrenheit since 1969.The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets have decreased in mass. Both the extent
and thickness of Arctic sea ice has declined rapidly over the last several
decades. Glaciers are retreating almost everywhere around the world —
including in the Alps, Himalayas, Andes, Rockies, Alaska and Africa.Evidence shows that climate change is impacting our planet in ways never
before encountered or recorded.
I don't really know which side is using which data for their hurricane land
falls statistics, or were they break the decades, but this is the list from the
NOAA website, for land fall hurricanes in the US.186019187015188020189023190021191019192021193012194018195024196017197014198011199015200014201018Fro these it shows a period in the
1800 with high incident, again around 1940 and 1950. Now reasonable people make
your projections based on the evidence. 1936 was the warmest record for the 48
states, 2012 was the second warmest per records. Hurricanes are not indicators
of global warming or caused by global warming, If so then the global
temperatures in the 1800 must have been greater than they are now.
Don't make this statement to a paleoclimatoligist. "Evidence shows
that climate change is impacting our planet in ways never before encountered or
recorded."Technically, the Earth is already in an ice age at
present. If glaciers were not receding, they would be growing. If glaciers are
growing we would be returning to a period of glaciation the same as about 10,000
years ago. Sea levels would drop drastically.According to
estimates, the interglacial period the Earth is in now may persist for another
50,000 years if CO2 levels increase to 750 parts per million (ppm). (the present
atmospheric concentration of CO2 is about 398 ppm by volume) If CO2 drops
instead to 210 ppm, then the next glacial period may only be 15,000 years away.
1972 to 2014 science.
@Kent C. DeForrestThere's only one problem for the Global
Warming Alarmists (aka "reality deniers"); their gurus at the IPCC (whom
we're told are the "experts") have confirmed in their Report from
this past Spring, that we haven't warmed in 17 years. Oops! Like always,
they were screaming several years back that we would indeed see an increase in
catastrophic storms and hurricanes, confirming that AGW was the cause. Oops!These "reality deniers" and their "scientists" never,
ever get it right. When the weather isn't warming the way they said it
would, they simply change Global Warming to "Climate Change." They have
a proven track record of getting it wrong, misrepresenting the facts, and
outright lying to promote this myth. And yet we're told we're the
"deniers." Since people aren't buying this garbage
science, the "reality deniers" have to make even more outlandish,
cataclysmic predictions. Talk about the Liberal who cried wolf! For some
people (like the totalitarian we call President) it's a means to control a
population; for others, it's a religion, where the deity is "Mother
Earth." All they have left is to call us "deniers."
In the last 15000 years the sea level has risen 400 feet. That is about 1/3
inch per year.
You don't have to believe that global warming will lead to higher rates of
extreme weather events. But let me tell you one group that does: Insurance
companies. Their very survival depends on being able to predict the amount of
losses they will incur to do extreme weather events. They seem to be quite
certain that these events have been increasing and will continue to increase.
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