Falling crime rates at the same time as dramatic increases in secularization and
religious unbelief...Seems the moral sky is not falling afterall.
What explains falling crime rates? The fact that many law abiding people now
carry concealed guns can't hurt. Criminals know its like playing Russian
roulette to go after good people in the street and in their homes.
"Critics of this explanation argue that there isn’t a perfect
relationship between crime and punishment."I'm sure this is
true, is there ever a "perfect relationship" in real life.It
is undeniable that when habitual criminals are in jail, they are not committing
crimes out on the street. Regardless of whether future crimes are deterred,
crimes while they are actually incarcerated are prevented.
No religionMore gunsPrisonsI guess we see what we want
The likely sole reason for the decrease in crime rates is the decrease in youth.
And the reason for the decrease in youth, is the decrease of births. When the
number of youth surged, back in the 1960's and 1970's, it was because
large segments of "baby boomers" were coming of age. Since, for example,
the early 1970's, among Whites, at least, in the U.S., birth rates have
been around 170 babies born, per lifetime, for every 200 adults (where 211 to
213 is exact replacement), this continuing birth dearth has resulted in many
fewer children born. This has repeated for nearing three generations now. There
should be no real wonder, then, why crime rates have decreased.
I heard that during the Vietnam war era there was a drop in crime because so
many young people were in the military and therefore not out on the streets
comitting crime. In the end I think all of the aforementioned reasons and many
not yet considered are the reason. In other words, there is not any single
reason anyone can hang their hat on and claim "this is it." Also, does
any study of crime ever take into account unreported crime? Trick question of
course, but that too would have to be considered.
One major item is missed. If it isn't reported, it doesn't turn up in
the data. How many have developed a "why bother" attitude?
Report the stolen tool box? Why bother -- you won't get it back. Report the crack house next door? Why bother -- the cops will sacrifice your
neighborhood as they "investigate" for years, trying to nail the big
guy. The assault? Why bother --- there is no timely protection from
the guy who you just aggravated even more --- besides, you probably "asked
for it". The vandalism? Why bother -- the LEO's can't
fix it anyway.
A very impressive topic for a media outlet. It's a rare truth
many don't realize. From what I've learned, the decrease can be tied
back to technology and the good work of politicians/law enforcement. Even though
the majority of you will hate that fact. It's true.
A big reason for the drop in crime rates is that police are so underfunded that
they aren't able to chase down every criminal and criminal act.A few years ago I was in a hit-and-run accident in SLC. I got the description
and license plate of the perp and gave it to police when they arrived on scene.
They put it into their database and got a name and address associated with the
vehicle. It was from a small town in Southern Utah....obviously a different
jurisdiction than Salt Lake. The cop told me they would pass the info on to the
sheriff in that town but that "I shouldn't expect anything to
happen" because the sheriffs in these little towns don't have time to
prosecute "minor crimes" like hit-and-run.The major reason
crime is apparently decreasing is because crimes aren't being reported.
The crimes are still occurring.
Whoa. Just how would BSR know about crimes that HAVEN'T been reported? And
how could he guess at the RATE of change of crimes if no one knows about them?
Perhaps people feel more threatened by criminals and could be less willing to
report them, but the rate of murder/homicide - over a long period of time - is
still down. BSR's accident WAS reported, though there evidently wasn't
much follow up.
If we arrest everyone and put them in prison, the crime rate will be nil.
@cjbBut crime has fallen in western states, while there doesn't
appear to be data on this, I'm betting that people in Utah, Idaho and
Montana carried guns in the 60's and 70's as much or more than they do
So! Why is our country arming the countries of the world?