Comments about ‘Rasmussen poll: More identifying themselves as Republican; Democratic identification down since 2008’
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15



1. Rasmussen Poll
2. Rush Limbaugh's exclusive pollster
Need we say more?....
I like Gallop... their data is usually pretty good...but..... there was a swing in the Male to Female ratio of over 2 percent in just 8 years. Not likely... and honestly per census data, it is frankly wrong. Mortality rates between males and females just haven't changed that much.
Why is this important. Because it creates a constant. You know what they number should be, and when the sample comes back different, you know there is a problem with the data.
Now, no, I don't think there is any covert intents here. It is just a reminder to put everything in context. The truth is things probably really haven't changed nearly as much as the report makes it sound. Based on national census numbers, it is likely the most current numbers are the closest to being accurate.... but you just never know.
We are in Utah, so how is this news? More people are born in this state that out of towners that move here! So by reason of population, this would be the case.
The article was a long way of saying LANDSLIDE.
"President Romney"... I like the sound of that. Just kind of rolls off the tongue.
Oh, DN. Shilling for Romney until the very end.
Meanwhile, the New York Times 538 blog gives President Obama a 91.4% chance of winning tomorrow. Guess we'll see who's right.
Most of the pollsters seem to believe that Democratic turnout and enthusiasm will exceed the historic levels reached in 2008. RealClearPolitics has state by state averages for all states, especially the battleground states. If you click on the links showing the highest Obama advantage and actually drill down into the polls, there is usually a D+7, D+8 or even D+11 advantage over Republicans. Nate Silver from the NY times 538 blog is actually giving a higher weight to these polls over Gallup and Rasmussen, despite the fact that the latter two were among the most accurate over the past few election cycles.
I simply don't know how pollsters believe that the excitement level for Obama is going to match or exceed what happened in 2008. I know many people who voted for Obama last time who are enthusiastically supporting Romney this year. Including my wife and I. Obama's tone this year (vote for revenge) is so different than the hopeful message from 2008.
I am cautiously optimistic that Romney will get a high enough turnout to win tomorrow.
What this article failed to mention is that Gallup explained that they were also using the older demographics and that the true number likely have Romney up maybe as much as ten points. This is going to be a landslide (depending on the amount of voter fraud). After a lot of analysis, my numbers are crunched.
I predict Romney will come in with at least 300 electoral votes. Landslide!!!
SammyB
Provo, UT
What this article failed to mention is that Gallup explained that they were also using the older demographics and that the true number likely have Romney up maybe as much as ten points. This is going to be a landslide (depending on the amount of voter fraud). After a lot of analysis, my numbers are crunched.
I predict Romney will come in with at least 300 electoral votes. Landslide!!!
10:13 p.m. Nov. 5, 2012
===========
Cut & paste.
Anything say can an will be used against you.
talk to ypu later SammyB
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