"Because Gallup’s polls usually take large sample sizes, statistical
variance alone probably cannot account these sorts of shifts. It seems to be an
endemic issue with their methodology.To be clear, I would not
recommend that you literally just disregard the Gallup poll. You should consider
it — but consider it in context.The context is that its most
recent results differ substantially from the dozens of other state and national
polls about the campaign. It’s much more likely that Gallup is wrong and
everyone else is right than the other way around." By NATE SILVER NYTimes
Years ago while driving through Oklahoma, I stop at a McDonald's. A young
lady took my order than started a short conversation. Being young, and trying
to be impressive, I told her that I went to school with a Chicago Bear
quarterback named Jim McMahon. This was a true statement, but I actually never
met him. Amazingly, the young lady appeared to fall in love with me.These are the kind of things politicians do with campaigning. Take credit for
things they didn’t do. As American patriots, may we observe
and use common sense. No candidate is perfect, but there are differences
It's 7 points today but there is a trend that favors Obama. Okay first note
that this is a 7 day polling average (Oct 11-17). Gallup also does 3
day rolling averages of Obama job approval. Today (Oct15-17) Obama has 50-44
approval. That seems pretty good for Obama and is an improvement over previous
days so what's going on? Well 8-9 days ago (Oct 7-9) Obama had a 53-42
approval gap but from Oct 11-14 Obama's approval was 48-47. So
the 7 day average is seeing Obama's really good days when his
approval-disapproval margin was 10 points disappear while it's adding in
the current days where his approval margin is 6 points but retains the days
where his approval margin was 1 point. Over the next few days the 48-47 type
approval days are going to drop from the 7 day average. If Obama maintains a
50-44 approval type score, we can expect to see him gain several points in
Gallup over the next couple days. I'm not saying this to
"make excuses", just to provide context.
I'm waiting for the poll that comes out November 6th that says "Mitt
Romney elected President of the United States!"
Unless I'm misreading the article, those are NATIONAL poll numbers.Romney got a boost from the 1st debate. Ryan did well in the polls after his
debate.These numbers are premature for the 2nd presidential debate.Romney appears to be gaining on Obama in general, including the swing
states.Again, the results of the 2nd debate are not fully reflected in
GZEFYI, Utah, has 6 electoral votes.
This story seems a little off. I really don't pay much attention to polls;
but, Romney would probably beat the President by about 85 percentage points
among "likely voters" in Utah. He would still only get 5 electoral
votes. I'm really not seeing any information here. If they
only polled voters in swing states, then I'm listening.
Hey, Larry; You saying it doesn't make it so. Sounds like you're
grasping at straws. (polls - straws, get it?)
To larry alwaysbet on the long shot and under dogs.
You can always find a poll that supports your guy. The best guide is the
average of multiple reputable polls. Real Clear Politics shows a slight
contraction of Romney's bump from the first debate. Romney's average
poll lead is a scant .4%, down from about a 2 point lead after Obama's
"no show" first debate. The electoral lead for Obama is 201 to
Romney's 191.Betting on the very predictive political gambling
site, Bovada, shows Obama as a 2 to 1 favorite.
Obama made promises during the 2008 presidential election that he didn't
keep. His Administration is riddled with corruption and now we find that he
lied to us about what he knew and when he knew it about the rape, torture and
murder our our Ambassador to Libya.The perfect storm is going to
sink Obama's ship on Nov. 6th.