Right now Obama has 251 delegates in the RCP average that lean his way.
Ohio's 18 would force a tie. So he needs Ohio and one of Iowa, Nevada,
Colorado (alternatively he can use Virginia and two of those three). Ohio seems
the more likely route so that's probably the most important state. Early voting has begun in Ohio. Obama does have the stronger ground game
like usual and Ohio has had voter suppression efforts led by Republicans all
year that have been fought back in court. I wonder if that'll play a role.
Ohio and Wisconsin, Penn, Virg, Florida, Mich, Iowa, Colo, Nev, NM...and who knows by Nov maybe even California!
@atl134Right now neither candidate for president has any
delegates.And will not have any until after the election.It is
only wishful thinking,and counting your chickens before they've
And a CNN poll released this afternoon has still Obama up by 4 in Ohio. And
this was taken during the worse days for Obama polling wise after the debate.
I would love to do away with the electoral college so that my state is no longer
a "fly over state"
schwa, you and small states in general have more power per weighted vote than
the large states under the electoral college. New Hampshire, Nevada and Iowa
all have power under the electoral college system. Utah is not balanced
politically and that is why it is a fly over state. Like Texas, New York, and
California. Now if there were no electoral college then THOSE states would
receive a visit, Utah... still nothin'!
@atl134Don't make accusations that are baseless. This nonsense
about vote suppression is a joke. Asking people to show ID isn't voter
suppression. Also, you may want to look at the updated U of Colorado study (the
one that hasn't been wrong since it started in 1980.) It has Romney
winning 330 electoral votes based on the economic conditions of each state. @SchwaWithout the electoral college, all a candidate needs
to do is worry about New York, Florida, and California. Read about why the
founding fathers wanted the electoral college. You have your representative in
If Obama wins Ohio it will be because of his support of the auto bail out.
George Bush won re-election in 84 because he carried Ohio by 60,000 votes.
Lib's are strategizing for the same thing in 2012.
President Obama doesn't know business. He never even knew how to spell
"business plan" and doesn't realize, even after 4-years that you
have to run the Government as part of his job. He thinks money grows on trees
and as a LIBERAL social programs are what we need at the cost of not having a
way to pay for them.That shows you how he has been impacted in his
philosophy about entitlement programs. When people get free lunch, free
schooling to the university, free medicine, and other entitlements, they
don't realize that someone has to pay for them, even great grandchildren
for what we are getting now. With the environmentalists in his hip
pocket, their lack of forest management knowledge at the cost of losing forests
to fires and bugs and overgrowth, he still doesn't get it. The trees are
dead and no money is going to grow on them, now or in the future.He
chose Geithner for a purpose. He doesn't know what a business plan is,
either. We are in a sad world letting the Bernanke and Obama Chicago type group
lead us into oblivion, including our children's grandchildren.
Just got back from a week in Iowa, Illinois and Missouri. Obama is in big
trouble in the midwest. Surprized by Romneys strong support in Missouri where I
didn't meet one person who was happy with how Obama was leading. Iowa has
suffered a horrible drought and that was topic of interest also in Illinois and
Missouri. People don't think Obama has lead or delivered. Downstate
Illinois people consider Obama a lousy state senator, lousy US Senator and lousy
president,they also dislike Chicago and its politicians. Illinois will go for
Obama but Iowa and Missouri will not is my gut feeling after being there.