let's just hope golden state wins...they are up by 1 at half time...if they
win...we have a higher shot of keeping it...unless golden state sold their souls
to the devil so they could go top 3
Okay, Geoguy first i didn't say i was an expert, i just said i understood
it very well, second off, the civil war is far more expansive and more complex
then the nba draft and the lottery, thus doing one report would not make anyone
an expert on the civil war, but since the nba draft is much more simpler, one
could become more of an expert on it then the civil war with one report, third
unless you didn't read what i posted it basically says the samething as
yours so you really don't need to attack me on saying i did a report in
high school on the nba draft, and the lottery. The only reason i included that
is because i was giving myself credibility so they could believe what i said,
because a lot of people were confused on what conditions the jazz were able to
get the pick this year.
but to answer your question in simple terms, yes the lottery determines if we
get the pick, and not their record in the regular season.
breakdown of chances of keeping the pickwith a gs win tonight we
have 97.2% chance of keeping the pick(that is 100% minus the 2.8% chance of them
winning the lottery as an 8th pick) with a gs loss tonight and coin
flip win, we would have a 7.2% chance of keeping the pick(that is the percent
that a team that is picking from 8-14 could jump into the top 3 , that is all
their chances added up)if they do lose tonight, going into the coin
flip toss we would have 47.2% chance of keeping the pick(calculated that they
would have a 50% chance of losing, then subtracting 2.8% chance of them winning
lottery as an 8th pick, but if they lose we would tack on another 50% of getting
the pick, but if they win we would take off 40% chance of getting the pick).so the route of least resistance would just have gs win, then it would
be gs lose, but also lose the coin toss, then it would be for gs to lose, win
the coin toss, but have someone jump them from 8-14top3
let me clarify this up, so you guys understand, i did a report in high school on
the nba draft and lottery so i understand it very well.if gs wins
tonight they currently would have the 8th pick, if they lose they would do a
coin toss between gs and the nets or raptors, if gs wins they get the 7th pick,
if they lose they get the 8th.so now the lottery comes around, they
have the 8th pick, but if they get a luck of the draw and land in the top 3 it
is theirs, if they don't it is ours whether it be 8 9 10 11, depends on if
3 teams below golden state gets in the lottery, ya see only the top 3 is lottery
dertermined, after that 4-14 is dertermined by record.but if they
end up going into the lottery with the 7th pick, they would get, unless at least
one team below them jumps into the top 3, if that happens, they bump back to 8 9
10, i keep explaining in the next post.
I was asking the same question. Whether it's order of finish; or the ping
pong ball that determines who gets the pick. You would have thought they would
have clarified that in the article. Hopefully, it's order of finish: for
the Jazz's sake.
I am pretty sure that RBN is correct. It is after the lottery that matters, not
before. Once the ping-pong balls are bounced around, and the final order set,
if Golden State is #8 or lower, the Jazz get the pick. If they are #7 or
higher, they keep the pick. Even if they end up at #6 after the
season ends, if two lower teams get a lucky bounce and top 3 picks, pushing
Golden State to a #8, the Jazz get the pick.
@Mike WIf before the lottery itself, Golden State is at 8 through 14
we get the pick. If the lottery ping-pong balls go the right way we could
parlay that in a No. 1 pick. Its going to be a coin flip. We have a
50% chance of getting the #8 pick. I'm sure KOC is loading up on four leaf
clovers and who knows what else.
I'm also seeing varying ideas on what happens if say, the Warriors finish
8th and jump up higher in the lottery... if a pick is "top 7 protected"
does that mean season ending order, or actual pick order?
RBN is correct. The Golden State pick is determined after the lottery decides
positioning. If Golden State is 1-7, then they keep the pick. If the ping-pong
balls land Golden State 8,9, or 10, then the Jazz will receive the pick.
@RBNI don't think so because the Cavs and Jazz picks last year that
they got from other teams probably were top 3 protected.
I thought that draft order was determined after the lottery. So, even if Golden
State finishes, for example, 8th, if they landed in the top 7 of the lottery,
the Jazz wouldn't get the pick. And similarly, GS could finish 6 but end
up 8th in the lottery in which case the Jazz end up with the pick this year.