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No quick fix for energy
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Sez the Doctor:
"Mr. Fatso, your arteries are horribly clogged. Your heart is in danger of failure. You've got do something, soon, or you're going to die."
Says Mr. Fatso:
"That's not all, Doc! I'm going broke buying all those Big Macs! I eat six for breakfast, eight for lunch, and ten for dinner! Have you seen how much they cost now - it's TWICE what I paid just a couple of years ago. I'm going broke!"
Says the Doc, having been recently inspired by President Bush:
That's terrible. I'm going to urge McDonalds to raise more beef in the hopes it'll lower the price on your Big Macs.
This isn't a matter of choice or ideology. It is the reality soon to be forced on us by the facts of geology and thermodynamics. We are losing the ability to feed our lifestyles the energy diet they require.
I can't believe we have allowed ourselves into this mess. Don't expect the corporations or the government to save you, they won't. There is too much money and power in selling energy. We have to wake up and realize we being lied to. The solution to the energy problem will have to be a grass roots revolution.
(And of course, since we now live in the Age of Asset Bubbles, every time any asset price starts rising -- be it tech stocks, real estate, or commodities -- the thundering speculative herds gallop in and jack the price up even further, based on nothing more substantive than an expectation that rising prices will continue to rise.)
If you drive 15,000 miles a year in a car that gets 20 mpg, you can cut out almost half your gas usage if you carpool to work and drive only 12,000 miles a year, and get a car that gets 30 mpg. Drive 60 mph and you will save even more. Carpooling and driving slower can be done immediately; replacing vehicles with higher mileage cars will take some time, but less than drilling off-shore or opening ANWR.
I know that not everyone can do this (the trucker driving the semi isn't going to carpool), but if rest of us do so the price of gas will come down for everyone. Not to mention unclogging the freeways.
But no US politician is going to have the spine to do that unless there are crowds of Americans marching in the streets chanting "LESS, LESS, LESS!"
That is just the fact of life.
It doesnt look like there is any short term solution regardless which direction you want to go. Gas is not going to go down.
Prices vary but it looks like the average for gas worldwide is about $7-8 a gallon. We may not like it but soon we might be paying what gasoline is actually worth.
Thank heaven for the coming Obama Era.
Your comment that conservation "won't make a dent" makes me wonder what you are a professor of. Have you been following the story on the massive drop in gasoline consumption that we just posted, in the wake of 4$ a gallon gas? C'mon, tell us what you are claiming to be a "professor" of.
I hear people saying oil shale and offshore drilling and ANWAR development will take 10 years to have any impact. Yes it will (take 10 years) had we started all of this 10 years ago we wouldn�t be in this mess. Wee were all fat dumb and happy buying our SUV's driving around on cheap gas after the last oil crisis of the late 70's but we didn�t do anything because gas prices dropped
Take the combined approach, wean ourselves off of foreign oil, develop domestic supplies, conserve and build electric power that is clean and safe,
Develop alternative fuel. Sure it isn't a quick fix, it won�t solve the problem in the short term. It will be painful but ten years from now we will be much better off. (I hate paying the people who despise us for their oil (Hugo Chavez)
Unconventional oil development has a massive footprint. If US mayors thousands of kilometres and a border away want it stopped in an almost uninhabited area, wait till all the 'drill and explore here' folks get their way. Have fun with it.
1. Nationwide 55 MPH speed limit. Could be implemented as fast as they can put up new signs. Sierra Club estimate: would save the equivalent of ALL the oil we now import from the Middle east!
2. Synchronized traffic lights. In use in San Francisco since the 60s (at least!). Could be done in weeks. Savings would be significant.
3. Having the yellow light come on with the red light, just before the red goes to green. Would allow drivers to switch off their engines while waiting. Could be done right away. Turning off fuel-injected engines at stop lights makes most small cars almost as fuel-stingy as a Prius.
4. Using Highway Trust Fund money (Federal fuel tax dollars) to improve more roads, making them more fuel-friendly.
5. Lease new offshore drilling areas. Wouldn't do anything for oil supply -- or prices! -- for at least a couple of Senate terms.
Which one are the politicians hawking?
(By the way, I got 49+ MPG in my 2001 Hyundai the last time I filled up.)
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We're not going to be driving electric cars tomorrow in sufficient numbers. Not next year or the year after either.
The key is numerous approaches to increased conservation and numerous approaches to increased production, and none of these will have significant impacts for the next couple of years. However, collectively, they will over time.