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Boom to bust? Housing crisis drops ice on hot Southern Utah market
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It's going to get worse and the prices of the past will not be seen again for SEVERAL years, if ever.
Oh, and if the bubble prices return, gas will also be 6 bucks a gallon. In other words, the bubble prices will NOT return. The debt bubble has popped! "Get out of debt", now where did I hear that?
Hopefully we all have learned something from this tragedy. Pumped up housing prices have made life difficult for people whose salaries haven't risen with housing prices. Some can't stay in their homes, or now can't sell them except for a loss.
It is sad.
Now if you would take notice at real estate mutual funds year to date, they are one of the few areas of the market that are positive.
Why?
Because people get over zealous then buy after things get hot then when the mkt crashes out on them they sell low.
Now is the time to buy.
Soon you might have already missed it!
The fact that for so long banks and lending companies told a family making $45K/yr (with Utah's depressed wages) that they could easily afford a home priced at $300K or more, and the fact that the people bought into this, is the problem. It's sad many families are upside down on their mortgages, but what can you expect when you buy a home you can not afford?
I, for one, am happy lending companies are cracking down. As a country, we have decided we don't need to "save up" to buy anything any more. We just buy it and pay for it later. Our government operates in the same manner. Because of this mentality, our economy is on a down turn and getting worse.
There have been many who've told us to get out of debt, from financial advisers to religious leaders. Isn't it about time we listen. If you can't afford it, don't buy it.
The other comment: "The government should protect the credit of those whose homes are foreclosed" are you being sarcastic?
Welcome to the real world. Stocks bought at the top of the .COM bubble in the late 90's fell more than 50% (if you were lucky). Why shouldn't home prices do similarly?
I called on a building lot for sale last fall. The owner wanted $350,000. I laughed out loud (not to be rude, but I just couldn't help myself).
The only people who say "now is the time to buy" are realtors and people trying to sell their homes.
Anyone who buys now will see their investment fall another 20% or more once sellers realize the only way to compete with the foreclosure market is to drastically cut prices.
I'm so glad we were conservative in the beginning by putting down a good down payment and buying something small. We needed to upgrade to something bigger (really a need, not a want) and were lucky to be able to do it in this down market.
It was interesting reading in the article about those who are involved in the construction trade who built homes too big and now can't afford them or don't have work... the 6 homes for sale on our old street... 4 or 5 in that exact situation.
Those building lots that were 350K two years ago are now 280K and will be 400K two years from now.
This is a good time to buy.
In my opinion this is wonderful news. Utah is NOT different and we now are seeing the fallout from the greedy builders, buyers, and brokers. I hope they all get what's coming to them.
To "Investor" above. This is far from over. We have at least two more years of this before we might begin to see a bottom. Then several years of no gains at all. Building lots will not be 400K in two years.
If anybody tries to tell you to buy now run away. They only have something to benefit from it if you do.
I agree things will probably bounce back, but it is going to take time. Another Jimmy Carter presidency on the horizon won't help things either.
Our home is paid for (took me 5 years to pay it off), summer home is paid for (paid cash), and a 3rd home in Monterey,CA was a very good price and has a decent mortgage rate of 4.75%. I also believe in paying my credit card off in full each month. Kids are through college and none of them has a student loan to pay off. Stop trying to beat the Jones' needing bigger and better all the time. You people got into to this mess and now you can feel what it was like for your grandparents to go through the depression.
Oh yes, I am 52, retired.
Depression or recession? Good question. One only needs to look at circumstances to know where we're at from a historical context. We are at the equivalent cutting edge of a Black Tuesday 1929... that led to a worldwide depression. The signs, high level of unregulated or sloppy regulated securities market, futures trading of everything basic to economic well-being, the rich and privileged having tax breaks and financial opportunities not available to the working class, riches made on pure speculation that don't contribute any 'real value' to the economy, etc., etc., are all in place today... and well... we've already brushed through two serious bobbles, with a third eminent. You know what they say about things happening in threes?
This is the time to simply get out of debt as much a possible and stay out of debt. Those who do so may well become the wealthy during the impending economic fallout that will undoubtedly happen.
The MRY home has 12 years left on the Mortgage, how is that keeping up with the Jones?
PS -that guy is a girl and lucky us, we made wise investments, paid cash when possible. I consider us fortunate to have done well.
My advice, don't buy anything right now. If you have money hold on to it. If you don't have money, buy only the esentials.
It also saddens me that so many people here love to post about how smart they are and they own 5 homes all over the country they paid cash for. Get over yourselves, cuz clearly you are all trust fund babies. I make 70K a year and my wife and I waited 5 years to have kids and saved all of her income and yet we still feel the pinch of recent food and gas inflation. We own no boats or RVs nor do we summer in Europe. The fact of the matter is that the world has changed and it is extremely hard to live on one income any more, a choice many people in UT want. Instead of inflating yourselves, have a heart for those affected.
To make money you MUST take chances!
I trust you are out buying with both hands right now. Follow your own advice. Mybe you can reinflate the bubble all by yourself. Don't come on here and tell us to buy. Snatch up those bargains for yourself.
If you have good credit and a large down payment (which some people actually do, contrary to what this article would have you believe) then go ahead and buy, especially if you plan to stay a while. Interest rates are great for buyers.
If you plan on waiting it out, good for you, I hope it works out. Save up for that large down payment anyway, because it's ALWAYS a good idea, regardless of market conditions. But there's no way of knowing exactly when the market will change. It could be years, as some predict, it could be months.
And name calling is less than helpful.
Sadly, the style of American economics has been compared with that of Brazil, Mexico and Russia, all countries whose governments are now so into corporate welfare and corporate socialism while leaving their working middle-class to pay the bill with no benefit to them.
Corporate socialism and its insidious form of welfare treatment it gets from the government is the reason for high oil/fuel prices, high food prices, a collapsing housing market, etc., etc. It's all the result of the undelivered promise of free markets and their smoke & mirrors puffing that supply & demand is the reason for inflation and impending economic ruin, when in fact its gouging, price fixing, production fixing policies of corporations causing the problems...
So much for the promises of "prices will go down with deregulation and privatization of public holdings..." Take the role of oversight and accountability to the public out of the equation and the doors to graft, greed, gouging and fixing are the inevitable outcomes.
Wake up America! We drove justified social welfare off the plate only to replace it with the most insidious welfare of all... corporate welfare/socialism.
I mean, who tries to call the low. If you find something you like, have a little cash. You can surely find something you like for the right price.
Let's agree: we are in the middle of a significant re-calibration of the US economy. The "credit crunch" is having a significant impact on our future, beyond just real estate. Get used to a lesser standard of living, especially if a driveway/garage full of adult toys is your definition of living well........
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Why would anyone pay the outrageous prices when they can build for cheaper? It isn't like they are running out of land and there is no where to build.
I see this as a good thing for the market.
Kind of reminds me of Eagle Mountain in Utah County.