Comments about ‘Mitt Romney rolls to easy win in Nevada GOP caucuses’
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Congratulations to Mitt Romney! He was projected before that he would win and he did. One wonders how the November elections will play.
I realize Mitt's getting more votes than his competitors, but outside of Utah, will he ever get over 50% of the vote?
I wonder how Romney will finish relative to the percentage and vote total Romney 2008 got.
"I realize Mitt's getting more votes than his competitors, but outside of Utah, will he ever get over 50% of the vote?"
With 4 people in the race 50% is REALLY hard to get. Just so you know.
As soon as there are fewer than 4 persons in the race Mitt will hit the 50%+ mark. [He'd hit that easily if Newt would combine with Rocky Anderson and the two of them run together on the Justice Party ticket.]
When Santorum figures out he's out of money Mitt will likely increase his lead. Newt is too proud (typical good-old-boy Washington political insider) to see the writing on the wall. I can hardly wait to hear his endorsement of Mitt after Romney wins the nomination.
After watching Newt's incoherent tirade and excuse making last night, I'm wondering if he's losing it! His missed meetings and press conferences, showing up late and ramblings point to a melt down. I wouldn't be surprised to see a mass exodus of key staffers. Just saying!
@ThomasJefferson
PPP polls have Santorum slightly ahead of Romney in Minnesota and in second behind Romney in Colorado. If Gingrich gets a pair of 3rd-4th place finishes (Gingrich leads Paul in those polls but Paul tends to do well in caucuses), something's goign to implode on his team. Santorum actually polls one point ahead of Obama head to head in the general according to rasmussen (massive grain of salt) while Romney trails Obama by 2 in that poll. He's like the consistently conservative sane version of Gingrich.
You can look at the Rasmussen poll for the general or popular vote but one has to look at the Electoral College vote. Only Romney can deliver states that the R's lost in the 2008 election. I don't see Newt or Santorum doing that though Paul could.
But Romney had a chance to deliver Michigan where his father was a successful governor. He is likely to deliver Nevada which was lost to the R's in 2008. Romney is also much more popular than Newt and Santorum in Florida.
Bottom line, it is no guarantee that Romney beats Obama, but Newt is really unelectable and probably the same for Santorum. Certainly Newt or Santorum can win states against Romney that the R's will win anyway (say the deep south), but the real question is which states can Romney deliver that Newt/Santorum aren't likely to deliver that could put the R's over the top in the Electoral College.
My earlier post said:
"I realize Mitt's getting more votes than his competitors, but outside of Utah, will he ever get over 50% of the vote?"
With 4 people in the race 50% is REALLY hard to get. Just so you know.
---------
Update:
Current results as of this very minute (according to AP):
89% precincts reporting
Mitt Romney15,03349.7%
Newt Gingrich6,46321.4%
Ron Paul5,61118.6%
Rick Santorum3,13310.4%
I think Romney could win more than 50%. Like I said, that's hard with 4 candidates, and it appears that Romney could pull it off. I guess that answers your question.
"89% precincts reporting
Mitt Romney15,03349.7%
Newt Gingrich6,46321.4%
Ron Paul5,61118.6%
Rick Santorum3,13310.4%"
Apparently the spacing didn't go as it should, so revised it should read:
89% precincts reporting
Mitt Romney 15,033 49.7%
Newt Gingrich 6,463 21.4%
Ron Paul 5,6111 8.6%
Rick Santorum 3,133 10.4%
"The caucus rules were a demonstration of democracy and a reflection of religious diversity."
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Too much has been made of the fact that one-fourth of the GOP voters happened to be "Mormon" (including the first part of this article). About 7% of Nevada's population is. But Romney even won among evangelicals, who have a history of not wanting to vote for a Mormon.
From the TODAY show "Romney won every demographic except divorce attorneys and narcissists.
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