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I would not be surprised if Romney again doesn't necessarily win in Iowa. He could. But 4 years ago, Huckabee and other neo-Pharisees made the issue a voter religious test, which Romney, as a Mormon failed.
In New Hampshire, 4 years ago, McCain prevailed, because Democrats supposed Hillary already "had it in the bag" without them, they crossed party lines as mostly neo-Sadducees to vote against Romney by voting for McCain.
As long as religious bigotry can prevail, by various means (trying to divert attention on Romney in a religious sense, by accusing him of being a flip-flopper, or too liberal, or too conservative, or whatever), I believe that the underlying REAL REASON that Romney was defeated 4 years ago was definitely due to a voter religious test.
If enough talk can again be generated this time around, Romney again will fail (I don't they he should), but he could, whether anti-Mormon agitators can get voters to either vote against him because of his Mormonism, or have that as "another reason" in the back of the mind of voters, they will prevail.
A good thing for Romney this time is not ONE prominent alternative per se
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