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Published: Thursday, April 22 2010 12:53 a.m. MDT

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Chuck Nunn

The best thing for all parties is if Fesenko is in a Jazz uniform next season. But I'm glad that his focus is on Game 3 and not thinking ahead to the summer just yet. His return will likely depend on how he does in these playoffs with Mehmet Okur out. But if he continues to get minutes on the floor, it will pay off for both him and the Jazz.

Chuck Nunn

The best thing for all parties is if Fesenko is in a Jazz uniform next season. But his future with the team is likely going to hinge on his performance in these playoffs with Mehmet Okur unavailable. Still I'm glad his focus is on taking one game at a time rather than the summer just yet. Hopefully those speculations can be held off until June?

Bugoff

Nationally the perception is that the win in DEN is attributable to DEN being wacky. Utah is not given much credit for playing extremely well.

The general feeling is that Utah is over matched and DEN is erratic. Utah did get a great game from pretty much every player. The national media expects DEN to win home court back.

If Utah can get enough outside shooting efficiency from Mathews, Korver, CJ, and DWill they can win with a defensive C. It is a different approach that depends partly on how well Fes and the rest of the team defends and how well the team adapts to the style.

The team defense has to be good AND Okur's points have to come from other positions. That changes the patterns in the offense. Different plays get emphasis.

The Jazz are pretty vulnerable. If DEN can shut down any one position Utah may not be able to score enough. The team defense has to be better. That is hard with a short bench which has to give a lot of effort on both ends.

Fez is capable of playing a lot better. His defense will improve with playing. Winning is doable.

Bugoff

Utah won because the Jazz played decent team defense and got a great offensive game from everyone but Mathews and Fes. The rebounds and TOs were even and Utah played slightly better D. DEN was not efficient on offense.

If Fes can improve his D then DEN does not get as many points in the paint. Unless they are hot outside DEN loses as long as the Jazz play good team D, rebound, don't TO and shoot efficiently.

As long as the Jazz get enough rest they should be able to stay in attack mode for the whole game. Sloan seems to be able to mix in the subs well enough to keep the team going. The sub play is crucial to winning.

This series mostly depends on how fast Utah adapts to its new style of play with a defensive C. Utah can beat DEN with a defensive C easier than the can with a small line up.

whit

Wow, that is quite the analysis. I always thought if you scored more points than the other team you won.

RSL LOVER

Whit and I thought if they score less than you you win also!
I agree, but we need to see the adjustments that Den will do for the next game, I read on the Denver post that they want to take Deron out of his game, it seems like they are looking to stop D-Will, even if they have to double or triple team him, I think the Jazz needs a fast Start, driving the ball inside on the very first position will put some doubts on their game plan, they will cover CJ and Korver better, because they know D-Will and Booz wil do their game, but they know if they can shut down the other guys they will have a good chance, so we need a big game from Fes and a way better game from CJ and Korver. BTW they figured that Sap is not a great freethrow shooter, so they might wanna take him and Fes more often to the line, The Jazz need to be really focus and I know we will win both games at ESA

CJ Miles

We are most vulnerable in game 3. If we win game 3, Denver will start to question themselves. With two starters out, we could get blown out at home. If we can win the next two, we are in great shape.

Bugoff

DEN has over the last 2 years been able to disrupt the Sloan system by disrupting DWill (at least part of the time). It worked better the first few times they tried it. Other teams emulated it. DWill and the coaches usually know how to adjust and defeat it now (not always).

DEN has already tried to disrupt the Sloan system by attacking DWill and pretty much failed (and failed miserably in game 2).

If Sloan has to he will put in Price or Gaines to help bring up the ball with DWill.

Brewer and AK used to help act as alternate points but they are not available.

Korver was working (pretty darn well) at the end of game 2. I was surprised. CJ is also capable of playing alternate point. Maybe also Mathews.

One option is to play Price or Gaines at point and DWill at SG. We need 30 points from DWill anyway. Lawson usually gives DWill more trouble than Billups.

If Utah can hold down the TOs and rebound they can win. If DWill TOs or DEN out rebounds, the Jazz will lose.

Fast breaks by Utah catch DEN in transition and they can't disrupt.

Bugoff

As long as Utah can get into thier sets the role players can play thier roles and Utah is on even footing. If the system is disrupted Utah is doomed.

There is a reason why the Jazz pay a max contract to DWill. The PG function is the most important position in the Sloan offense. PF is second. Sometimes last year when Boozer was out, the C with Okur was second.

The SG is usually the least important on offense by design. However, with a defensive C the SG has to produce more points.

Bugoff

Based on 82 game data for this years regular season the Jazz have been producing 22.7 points from the C position while opponents produced only 16.4 with a net difference of 6.3. The net difference for PF was 1.8 and for PG 1.7. SF and SG were negative with -1.8 and 2.6.

Putting Fes into the C position totally alters the offense from the regular season. It is like a whole new team with a different approach.

Keep in mind that Boozer and Millsap had been playing some C in most games. Fes also played occasionally. However, this year a lot of offense ran through the C position and opponents scored the least at that position.

Okur's own production vs opponents production was +1.1. Fes was -6.1. However, Okur's On Court/Off Court net was -2.8 while Fes was +7.3.

Individually Fes was not nearly as good as Okur at C but having him on the floor made the rest of the team much better.

These are 2 different approaches to the game. 2 different Sloan offenses.

It will take time for the Jazz to adjust.

RockOn

Memo to Boozer:
In 1492, Columbus sailed the ocean blue...

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