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Mike Sorensen: Mountain West should add 10th member ASAP
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I'm not convinced that the MWC needs a 10th team. But if the MWC adds a 10th team, I'm only in favor of adding Boise St. None of the other schools mentioned would add as much to the conference as BSU would.
Sorry, Boise. You've had a fantastic run. But what will happen when your football team doesn't measure up to its recent success? What else could you bring to the MWC table? Your television market is so small it would add nothing to any future network deal, and your other sports programs have no national profile. If your football team even takes a small downturn (and it will at some point), national interest will cease. Then the MWC would be stuck with you.
No, if the MWC decides to expand, it needs to look to the southeast.
As for BSU, there seem to be quite a few misconceptions about them. To the poster who claimed they were a "trucking school" I take it you're not aware the vo-tech programs have been spun-off to a new community college?
And to those who claim they cannot sustain their winning ways--granted every program has ups & downs but did you know that Boise State has been winning in football since it's inception? They won national championships at the JUCO and D1AA levels before moving to D1. If they joined the MWC, they would bring one of the best winning percentages (maybe second to BYU).
Add that they have recently won a PAC-10 title in wrestling (yes they compete in the PAC-10 in wrestling), have nationally ranked track and tennis programs plus a growing basketball program and I doubt you'd have to worry if Boise knows how to win.
BSU is still a Big Sky team to me.
A successful one at that!
They've moved up and have excelled. Why pull them down into the MWC? Except for your own inflated view of your conference.
To Houston and all the other BSU partisans, If you think the WAC is great, fine, stay with it and make it an even better conference. All the better for USU. You don't need to disparage the MWC to do that.
The MWC should work out a deal with the WAC to play a football title game every year: the MWC champ vs. the WAC champ the 1st weekend in December. That may draw enough attention to get a BCS auto-bid.
1) verify your facts about the accomplishments of BSU before commenting negatively (it's hard to take serious jabs thrown at a program that is 12-0 against MWC schools);
2) accept that the MWC is not as appealing to other mids as it was 2-3 years ago (namely your terrible TV contract which has hurt your visibility); and
3) understand that for many of the supporter of schools in the new C-USA, there is a belief that they will become the next Auto-Qual conference--not the WAC or MWC. I feel confident in saying again that the U of H would not come to the MWC without a guarantee of an Auto-Qual.
The MWC is no longer seen as a sure route to the BCS. College football continues to evolve and the landscape will probably change significantly over the next three years. Your presidents have quite a bit of work to do to deliver on the promise of the MWC and so far, they have failed more than succeeded.
Unfortunately, college sports is driven by football, and college football is driven by $$$$$. Teams and conferences will aline themselves accordingly. The old axion "follow the money" applies here. Much as I would love to see a major reorganization of college sports - a dissolution of conferences and reformation into divisions, an end to the privileges of the "elite" schools, a playoff, etc., it doesn't appear to be on the horizon.
In the meantime, the so-called "mid-majors" are left to fend for themselves as best they can. No supporter of any school can be blamed for wanting a better deal or affiliation for his/her institution. It's an emotional issue, as is evident in many of these postings.
Again, for the MWC it comes down to money. Currently, the MWC has an $82 million TV deal split 9 ways. Without getting into the issue of coverage, which is a whole other area of discussion, if the conference is looking for a new member, it will consider a school only if that institution will increase amount the next TV deal more than it takes from its conference share. Got it? That's the bottom line. If no prospective candidate for expansion can meet that condition, the MWC will stay with 9 teams.
At last check, the Boise metro TV market ranking is 119. The rankings for Houston, Memphis and New Orleans are "a bit" higher. Remember, money is the name of this game, not team competitiveness. That is why if (and it is a big "IF") the MWC ever considers expansion, it will give higher consideration to those larger markets in the southeast.
1) I was referring to your other sports, not football. Going 12-0 against MWC teams over the past few years is a great accomplishment, and you should be understandably proud. However, you might or might not be able to sustain that if you were competing against MWC teams week after week, especially after losing that great senior class. And, as I explained to Fred, it's going to come down to money, not competitiveness, IF the MWC ever considers expansion.
2) The TV deal is a horrible mess. You won't get much disagreement from any MWC fan. I do have to point out, though, that the $82 million deal with CSTV is a bit better than the $7 million the WAC has with ESPN/ABC, and was much better than what ESPN was offering the MWC as a renewal.
3) "Some supporters" of C-USA might think they're the premiere "mid-major" right now. Unfortunately for them, they were hurt immemsely when the "Big Least" stole Louisville, Cincinnati & S. Florida. Look at the schools in UH's division right now - Tulsa, Rice, SMU, UTEP & Tulane. With the exception of Tulane, the MWC was formed to get away from those schools, which were all part of the old WAC. The MWC has already demonstrated its capacity to take from the C-USA when it added TCU, and could probably take UH if it chose.
Now, having said all that, yes the MWC isn't as attractive nationally as it was a few years ago. All of that will ebb and flow, not only for the MWC but for all the "mid-majors." If our schools are in the WAC, MWC, C-USA, Mid-American or Sunbelt, face it. We're second-class citizens. Unless the college landscape changes, we'll be left fighting for the scraps left by the "big boys."
1) I was referring to your other sports, not football. Going 12-0 against MWC teams over the past few years is a great accomplishment, and you should be understandably proud. However, you might or might not be able to sustain that if you were competing against MWC teams week after week, especially after losing that great senior class. And, as I explained to Fred, it's going to come down to money, not competitiveness, IF the MWC ever considers expansion.
2) The TV deal is a horrible mess. You won't get much disagreement from any MWC fan. I do have to point out, though, that the $82 million deal with CSTV is a bit better than the $7 million the WAC has with ESPN/ABC, and was much better than what ESPN was offering the MWC as a renewal.
3) "Some supporters" of C-USA might think they're the premiere "mid-major" right now. Unfortunately for them, they were hurt immemsely when the "Big Least" stole Louisville, Cincinnati & S. Florida. Look at the schools in UH's division right now - Tulsa, Rice, SMU, UTEP & Tulane. With the exception of Tulane, the MWC was formed to get away from those schools, which were all part of the old WAC. The MWC has already demonstrated its capacity to take from the C-USA when it added TCU, and could probably take UH if it chose.
Now, having said all that, yes the MWC isn't as attractive nationally as it was a few years ago. All of that will ebb and flow, not only for the MWC but for all the "mid-majors." If our schools are in the WAC, MWC, C-USA, Mid-American or Sunbelt, face it. We're second-class citizens. Unless the college landscape changes, we'll be left fighting for the scraps left by the "big boys."
The best move for BYU and Utah as far as the MWC is concerned is to LEAVE! It would be a step in the right direction to go back to the WAC, or if possible, get into the PAC-10. Nobody watches MWC football anymore (it's not available!) The MWC is a non-issue in college football discussions... well, that's not exactly true.. it's on the same level as Sunbelt conference (Craig Thompson's former conference), Division II, Division III, and is it still called the NAIA?
So.. as far as MWC expansion is concerned.. I doubt that anyone is interested. Well, maybe Utah State, Weber State, Southern Utah State, and UVSC. Hey, there ya go!... At least you fans in Utah could watch all the games on TV! You just wouldn't want to venture outside of the state and start talking about your teams... cuz nobody would care.
It's sad, but if BYU, Utah, & TCU are going stand by and watch Craig Thompson take the MWC down to Division III... then they deserve all the notariaty that they are going to get. I know that the LDS players here in Washington have begun to shun BYU and Utah in favor of PAC-10 teams... just so that they will be in a program that matters and to play football for a school that has games that people actually watch.
1) I was referring to your other sports, not football. Going 12-0 against MWC teams over the past few years is a great accomplishment, and you should be understandably proud. However, you might or might not be able to sustain that if you were competing against MWC teams week after week, especially after losing that great senior class. And, as I explained to Fred, it's going to come down to money, not competitiveness, IF the MWC ever considers expansion.
2) The TV deal is a horrible mess. You won't get much disagreement from any MWC fan. I do have to point out, though, that the $82 million deal with CSTV is a bit better than the $7 million the WAC has with ESPN/ABC, and was much better than what ESPN was offering the MWC as a renewal.
3) "Some supporters" of C-USA might think they're the premiere "mid-major" right now. Unfortunately for them, they were hurt immemsely when the "Big Least" stole Louisville, Cincinnati & S. Florida. Look at the schools in UH's division right now - Tulsa, Rice, SMU, UTEP & Tulane. With the exception of Tulane, the MWC was formed to get away from those schools, which were all part of the old WAC. The MWC has already demonstrated its capacity to take from the C-USA when it added TCU, and could probably take UH if it chose.
Now, having said all that, yes the MWC isn't as attractive nationally as it was a few years ago. All of that will ebb and flow, not only for the MWC but for all the "mid-majors." If our schools are in the WAC, MWC, C-USA, Mid-American or Sunbelt, face it. We're second-class citizens. Unless the college landscape changes, we'll be left fighting for the scraps left by the "big boys."
The NCAA has rules in place now that you have to average 15,000 tickets sold per game over a two year rolling period or you loose your D-1A status. The WAC has three schools (L Tech, Idaho, and Utah State) who didn't make the cut last year and are in danger of dropping. What does the WAC do if it looses 1 or 2 or 3 members? Get North Texas to replace them?
Also, just look at attendance numbers: in 2006 MWC teams averaged 32,600. The WAC averaged 22,000. (CUSA was 26. And while the fans may like seeing the Broncos on ESPN, they get paid pitifully. The WAC recently broke off talks with them to look for something else. Something that pays better. Something exactly like what the MWC has.
But as far as the MWC being the gateway to the BCS, here's the situation (from bcsfootball.org):
The standards will be based on results from the 2004, 2005, 2006 and 2007 regular seasons, using institutions that are members of the conferences during the 2007 season.
The data will include the following for each conference
(1) the ranking of the highest-ranked team in the final BCS standings each year,
(2) the final regular-season rankings of all conference teams in the computer rankings used by the BCS each year and
(3) the number of teams in the top 25 of the final BCS standings each year.
Here is how the conferences stack for data points numbered 1 and 3, added after 3 of the 4 years.
..avg Highest-Number of teams in the polls
SEC-----2.33--5
Pac 10--3.67--3.33
Big 10--4.67--4.33
Big XII-7.33--4
BigEast-7.33--2.33
MWw/BSU-7.33--1.67
ACC-----12----3.67
Mt West-15.3--1
As you can see, together, they are about tied with the Big East (even with their big season last year).
When the Big East added Louisville in 2004, the only other Big East team that was ranked was Pitt (who Utah remembers wasn't very good). The BCS counted Louisville's 20004 year in CUSA toward the Big East for the BCS numbers. They couldn't very well count the Louisville's for the Big East and not Boise's for the mountain west ... we'll they probably could, they're the BCS.
While part of the WAC we tried the large conference. It was not good.
Stick with where we are. I feel way too much panic in your discussions.
The more likely scenario would involve BYU and Utah/SDSU moving to the Pac 10 to create a twelve team conference.
While the first scenario is my favorite, I believe the second is closer at hand.
So, the Big 10 would have to lose its patience and add a 12th school without adding ND. Nebraska would seem a logical choice. However, the Big 10 still could look east and take Pitt, Syracuse or West Virginia from the "Big Least." Sometimes politics overrules logic (see VT going to the ACC instead of Syracuse).
There are a lot of "if"s for Nebraska (or maybe Missouri) to join the Big 10, but if it were to happen, I agree that it would makes things most interesting out west, because a spot for a MWC school in the Big 12 would be available.
Also, if the PAC-10 were to add Colorado, it would open another spot in the Big-12, and probably another in the PAC-10 because the PAC-10 would most likely add two schools. Thus, 2 spots in the Big-12 and one in the PAC-10 might open up for Utah, BYU and another MWC or WAC institution.
I think the Big 10 would be crazy to choose Pittsburgh, Syracuse, or some other eastern school when they could get Nebraska instead. Let's face it, Nebraska would be an excellent fit in the Big 10 (just like it is in the Big 12). Also, the Big 12 would be fine without the Huskers. I mean, the Big 12 would definitely "take a hit" with a Nebraska defection, but the conference would be fine with Texas, Oklahoma, and Texas A&M in it.
I sure would hate to see Colorado go, but I realize it's a possibility. At least the north divison (without Nebraska and possibly Colorado) would still have one solid football program in Kansas State. The loss of Nebraska and Colorado would make it crucial to find suitable replacements. I think Utah would be the Big 12's first choice, and Colorado State would be their second choice (if Colorado left). Without Colorado, you can bet they'd replace the Buffaloes with CSU to maintain a presence in that state.
It's tough to say for sure, though. I mean, there are so many factors (geography, academics, prestige, money, politics, televsion, etc.) involved in these choices. Sometimes logic doesn't hold true. If this scenario (or one like it) occurred, it seems as though the remaining MWC schools would combine with the WAC schools to form one conference.
This is a hot topic now. I'm a UT-Austin (Longhorn) graduate, and we're discussing it down here in Texas. Hook 'em Horns!
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The full round-robin schedule in football gives you a true champion.
In basketball, you get travel partners and a 10 team conference tournament. (That means they could finally eliminate the ridiculous 8-9 play-in game)
Adding a 10th member makes a lot of sense. That's exactly why I don't think the Mountain West would do it.