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H1N1 flu claims 5th Utah victim
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18







I think it's all overkill. Many people die from the regular flu. West Nile, SARS, Swine Flu. More people have died from Malaria in the last year than all these combined.
This seems like the real story to me. This is a big deal. If we can't trust the diagnosis, how can we have confidence in the interventions?
Kate Lilja
Salt Lake Valley Health Department
We can not panic, but more precaution and acceptance that we are facing a problem is advised.
The 1918 flu pandemic infected about 1/3rd of the population. On average, 1/20th of those infected died. That means that 1/60th of the world's population died. But there weren't vaccines, antibiotics, and antiviral medications. Now there are.
If this flu were like the 1918 flu, and the evidence is that it's much more mild - less lethal, and if we prevented 75% of the deaths, our mortality rate would be about 1 in 240. That would be about 12,500 deaths total. That's a lot, but compared to the normal flu, (9000 deaths each week, all winter long) it's quite small.
Pandemics almost always come in waves. The first wave of the 1918 Pandemic was so mild it was not even mentioned by the media. Most first waves are. It was the second wave that was so deadly. Viruses mutate and change so many people who caught the first wave in 1918, also caught the second wave.
Also, vaccines take about four months to prepare. By the time a vaccine is ready for the virus in its present form, a mutation would probably have occurred that would make the vaccine less effective. We would not have enough antivirals for a massive outbreak and they are usually only effective if given the first two days. Misdiagnosis can lead to disaster.
My family is not in the least panicked but we are prepared with masks, gloves, bleach and natural antiviral products. In the end, it comes down to personal responsibility.
Eighteen more deaths were confirmed, all in the U.S., out of a global total of 163, according to the latest WHO tally confirmed influenza A/H1N1 cases.
Some 5,834 new cases were announced compared to last Friday, especially in the U.S. with 4,638 new cases, and 404 freshly reported infections in the U.K.