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Utah Jazz: Millsap's potential suitor list is getting narrower
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Go look at all of the free agents who are going to take massive pay cuts because the best offer (if they get an offer) is the MLE at 5.6. Artest just took a pay cut. Ariza is signing for the MLE. There are a lot of big names and egos who are scrambling to find an average deal before those dry up.
If I were OKC I would simply wait.They have cap space and a lot of one year contracts. They can wait for a really good ideal player to fall into their lap. They want a big or two who are cheap and have experience. Millsap does not quite fit that.
OKC knows they are in the drivers seat on FAs. They are the only team left with space that is likely to be able to use it. Why blow a lot of money on Millsap other than to hassle Utah into spending to much?
Kevin O Connor. Incredible he can get a #2 guard loike Hamilton but does not want the 3 year $35 million extension because in long run where is money saved?
It should be "what spots do the Jazz need strengthened to compete for the world championship:?
As you all know it is about "fun and competitive"
We will get many comments on the ESPN article I am sure...
.. lets go O'connor trade Boozer for Rick Hamilton and Teyshaun Prince.
. It will fix your problem throw-in Mo Almond or Brewer or definately CJ Miles. Any one or two of them with booze for Hamilton and Prince is definately an upgrade. They just signed Gordon and Vilanueva to play with Stucky.
Anyways this allows you to give millsap his worth 30-40+ mil 5year deal.
Then let it play out after you get your last piece .. a true defensive center .. ie a Dampier type center to come off the bench.
Jerry Sloan can use AK/Millsap at the 4 and you would have some of the most physical defenders to match up with the Kobe's/LeBron's and Wades of the league. I guarantee a conference finals appearance.
Let's just look at HX what got you there last time. Mental playoff confidence that fisher brought in 07. Biggest mistake just letting fisher get away. my depth chart.
pg Williams Price/Maynor
sg Hamilton Korver
sf Prince Harpring
pf Millsap Kirlenko
C Memo Dampier or someone for the bench that actually plays Defense
Hamilton and Prince are pricy and really do not solve the Jazz problems. Hamilton does not shoot the 3 among other things.
The Jazz need to be patient and the get the right (and right priced players) for each position.
Harp is gone one way or another. The Jazz need one complete player at the 2/3 spot, one who can shoot and defend (Not Korver or Brewer). He does not need to be a big name nor have a big price. Just get the capability. That with Harp might get the Jazz back to a sustainable salary just under the luxury tax.
They also need the right PF (not Boozer or Millsap). I have not seen one among the FAs. The Jazz insist on Cs who can shoot the 3. But they need a C who also has an inside game.
Overall they need better defenders not talk about nastiness.
Fix the above problems and maybe they win the West.
Hamilton would be a great fit in Utah's system.
As for villanueva, he was probably the best forward who was available. If that's what he signed for, I don't think lee will get as much, and millsap won't get as much as lee.
The Jazz have approached this team more like a family than a business. That is nice and a nice management style but it has to be rethought along the lines of SA. SA has no hesitation to replace a player with a better player if needed.
The Jazz tend to get players with flaws, develop them, keep them, over pay them and then get killed by the flaws.
It has got to stop or this team will never be any better.
Millsap will have all of the limitations of Boozer without the soap opera. Further, he will not have Boozer's moves.
Most other teams are realizing that if they take Millsap out of the Jazz system that he does not fit their system as well and he will not produce the same numbers.
He is a nice guy and a hard worker and will be a great back up PF. He can start for many also ran, cellerdweller teams.
He is not the PF for the Jazz.
Landry does essentially what Millsap does. Last year Landry had big salary expectations but HOU signed him cheap anyway and that was in a good economy.
Utah has to stop over paying it's role players.
Actually Fez is the player HOU would love to have. They might fork over quite a bit for him. They might even give up Aaron Brooks. However, I like Fez and think he will be useful if Boozer is gone.
Millsap had 13.5 points and 8.5 rebounds in 30 minutes.
Koufos had 4.7 points and 2.9 rebounds in 11+ minutes. Koufos in his second year should be able to rebound as well and maybe score better than Millsap. Plus Koufos is taller and can compete against tall line ups.
Suton should be able to do as well as Koufos plus shoot the 3.
There is not reason to get excited about Millsap. He is replaceable and quite cheaply and easily. There is nothing in Millsaps game that indicates he is going to be the next Kevin Garnett.
1. Most real agents have long term working relationships with 25-30 GMs and other members of team organizations. The emphasis there is on long term and working. Your uncle has a long term working relationship with no one.
Get a Real Agent. A good one will more than pay for his fees.
2. The market is bad. Don't let your hopes and ego destroy your career. Look what Ariza just did to his. The market next year will probably be just as bad. Try to get a 3 year deal with the last 2 as player options. As your game develops and as the market improves, the Jazz will renegotiate or you will get your big contract. The above contract gives you flexibility.
3. Don't drink the OKC kool aid. They have no one on there roster who makes more than 6 Million. That is by design. They are not going to start busting the bank with you. They messed with the Jazz on CJ. If they do it with you, the Jazz may return the favor when Durant, Green, and others are FAs.
More later
5. So far the PR effort by your "representatives" looks like a lot of obvious smoke. You need some professionals to handle this. You probably have about 15 hanger ons, planning on spending your raise. Ditch them.
6. You have worked hard and done well. However, the timing for a big raise is not optimal. Your game still needs improving before you are established and proven. Take this one step at a time and get ready for the right time and opportunity. Cut a short term flexible deal now. Position for a good long term deal later.
With LA signing Artest, SAS getting Jefferson, POR signing Turkaglu, and Denver about to sign Grant Hill, the Jazz are falling more and more behind. We still have one of the better teams in the west, but we have definitely not made the moves to stay on par with LA and SAS.
Signing Milsap as our long term starting PF is not a good idea. He is a good role player, but not much more than that. He is shorter and not as strong as Boozer and doesn't have anywhere near the same offensive game. His D is better, but not that much.
If we can't get him...Prince would be another good prospect to try and land. He's a lot like Marion...versatile...and a threat both offensively and defensively...and "long". Just a thought.
Millsap is not just competing against the FAs that are left. He is competing against all of the currently signed players who might get sent out in a "fire sale" sometime this year. That is about 1/2 of the NBA.
Who knows what OKC could get. They might get a much better deal than SA (Jefferson) or CLE (Shaq) or LA (Artest).
They should be able to get the ideal player for cheap if they wait and make the right trade sometime this year.
Why pay Millsap big bucks?
Teams with Cap Space can take their time and steal some team trying to get under the luxury tax blind.
There is a reason why OKC has no player making more that 6.5 Mill. Their owner is smart. He knows OK will give him another 3 years at least to build a play off team.
OKC can trade small amounts of cash or a 2nd round pick back for just about any player in the league that they want. If the other team is desperate to dump enough salary to get under the luxury tax, OKC could steal some promising young talent and 1st round draft pick for next to nothing this year.
Or they could trade one of their cheap "practice players" for a great young player with a lot of upside who still has a reasonable price (4 mill or less).
OKC and SAC will have teams begging them for deals this year.
I am not sure it makes sense for OKC to make an offer on Millsap except to force the Jazz to pay more. However, they did that once (CJ) and Utah may be under the cap when OKC has to resign some of their key players. Utah might return the favor.
It is better to leave Utah alone and not bid on Millsap. OKC can get a better player for a lot cheaper and maybe an extra draft pick to boot.
I think $6 million/yr is the most the Jazz should pay considering they are in the luxury tax and he will always be a 3rd/4th option role player at best, not a franchise player! Remember, I still like the guy a lot, but the Jazz can't afford to keep overpaying players like A.K., Boozer, Ostertag etc and remain competitive!
Even though the Jazz tend to have a good team.
The Jazz have Sloan who a lot of players do not want to play for. They have Sloan's system which requires years to learn. It is not the same as moving from one system that you know to another with minor adjustments.
It is also SL which is not (fortunately) NY, LA, CHI, MIA etc.
Some teams manage their caps well and others don't. Utah has tended to overpay veterans and tended to not get enough talent (hold total salary down). Utah has tended to be in the bottom 1/3 of the league in total salary.
You do not win championships by being cheap while you over pay the players you have.
Bad cap management has as much to do with no ring as anything.
Not a thing, but stay together and get healthy.
LA was labled soft, but buckled down on D when required. Let's hope the Jazz do the same.
FG%
Fesenko 58% (played in over 20 games...doesn't seem like it, huh?)
Millsap 53%
Blks
Kirilenko 1.1
Millsap 1.0
Rebs
Boozer 10.4
Millsap 8.6
I like Millsap and I hope the Jazz get him cheap. He is fine as a back up PF and should be paid accordingly.
Boozer is the PF of last decade. Millsap is a throw back to Barkley without the shot. He is basically a rebounding specialist.
Both are outdated types of PFs. The new PF is more along the lines of Josh Smith and Lamar Odom. Long fast, athletic, and very quick.
Both Boozer and Millsap look better than they really are because they play in the Sloan system which is also outdated and designed for an old type PF. Utah is the best that they will ever do because they fit (more or less) the system. Both are too short and slow and can't defend the new type of PF.
Even if POR over pays for David Lee (assuming they actually can get him) that is no reason for Millsap to get paid a lot. If 5+ mill is to much for Gortat/Ariza, how much is to much for Millsap?
Sloan gets players who fit his outdated system and that means they lack the speed, agility and quickness needed to defend the new types of players that are required by the modern game.
A good 75 percent of it-
remember the ESPN POOL, Sloan (and the holics) 5th most popular coach by the fans in the Nba
Greg Miller 8th most popular owner in the NBA by the fans.
They hear this and think "we told you also"
Long As SLoan is here and has carte blanche, I say the Jazz will be unlikely even to get back to the NBA finals even if they had the talent.
If people would cancel the season tickets or do what I suggest boycott the home opener, much to the anger of the "Holics", that is what sends the message.
ALthough it is now too late. I disagreee with minor tinkering. I would be more open to it if someone else coached the Jazz. No one will give anyone a chance unless it is Hornacek. Everybody is scared.
People in life that do not go for the gusto or sit content will never advance in life.
There would be nothing better than an "outsider" like Avery or Laimbeer or Van Gundy even to come in here and do a thorough impartial analysis
1. Is the Sloan system capable of beating the triangle, the low post, high post and other prevalent systems used in the NBA?
If it is not then a coaching change and a number of player changes have to be made before the Jazz move forward.
2. Is the Sloan system capable of beating the other systems if another coach runs or modifies it?
That requires fewer changes in personnel.
3. How much of the problem is in the Jazz management practices?
That means changing the way the Jazz operate and deal with Sloan. I already see some of that now. I think there has been some shift in power away from Sloan since Greg started. I think L Miller was some of the problem like over paying.
I think Stockton might be a good coach if he wanted the job. Van Gundy is great on defense but weak on offense. Avery is pretty egotistical. Laimbeer is a ?
I suspect the Jazz would choose one of the existing assistants for the first coaching change. Some of the others would leave. Another more radical change may follow if the new coach did not produce.
1. How to get this team to play defense?
2. How to get this team to win on the road?
3. Who will be the next generation PF (not Millsap)?
4. What other trades need to be made to produce a contender?
5. What changes are made to stay out of the luxury tax in the longer run?
The team needs more outside shooting. It needs an upgrade at SG/SF. Harp will be gone. CJ WAS not good enough, might step up. Korver can't defend well enough. Brewer has to improve shooting or needs a replacement.
Center is a question but the Jazz are committed to an outside shooting C. Koufos should be capable. Fez may provide an low post C.
The PF is the biggest ? Millsap is not better than Boozer. The Jazz are unlikely to contend with Millsap at PF. PG and PF are the most important positions in the Sloan system. It can not contend without the right PF.
Sloan knows that but loves his projects (Millsap, Collins, Price, Brewer) etc.
Do Sloan and the Jazz really want to win? Get the right PF.
His relationship to the GM is highly unusual in professional sports. He has veto power over the GM and he is the defacto GM or informal GM. However, he is officially and formally only the coach. That allows him to deal with players on a day to day basis while claiming not to be involved with messy issues like salary.
If Greg starts shifting power to more of a group decision making approach where the power is distributed across the other positions I think you will start to see some (not a lot) of changes.
Larry had no formal education. He was an astute risk taking carsalesman/entrepreneur. Greg if I am not mistaken has a formal business back ground. He is more likely to manage base on sound business principles and less likely to fly it by his pants.
To Greg the Jazz is the PR arm of his dealerships/enterprises.
Now that Greg is the owner things are starting to change. He does not care much about basketball. However, he does care about his standing in the community, his father's legacy and running the empire well. He would like to win for a host of reasons but he is not personally involved in day to day operations nor personally attached to players.
He is probably still getting a feel for the organization and still deciding who he can get good advice from. He knows he does not know basketball and that is good. It will take him some time to figure out who in the organization makes good decisions and the power will gradually transfer to them.
In the past nobody crossed Sloan. With Larry gone that might start to change. His informal power may start to erode if he does not produce quickly.
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Would not Millsap's numbers also drop. Further, there are some major holes in Millsap's game. Is he anything more than a rebound specialist, who hustles. He can't shoot the 3. His range is limited. He has trouble defending tall athletic front lines just like Boozer.
AK's numbers dropped about 25% when he moved from PF to SF. If Millsap's numbers dropped that much, how much is he really worth?
The bigger problem for the Jazz is if they keep him. He is not going to solve Boozer's limitations and he is going to have his own serious limitations. He is not the PF that Utah needs to win a championship.
During the next 2 years Utah needs to get the right PF. If Utah does that what is Millsap's role? Especially if he has been starting? Do the Jazz sign him and then trade him for the right PF?
It is better to let Millsap go than to pay to much for him.