Assessing Jon Huntsman Jr. and the Republican Party: Is 2020 his year?
Party leaders may decide that the problem in 2012 was that Romney was too moderate. “They'll say, ‘Next time around, we need to forget about finding somebody who will appeal to the middle because we tried it and it didn't work,'” Scala said.
Democrats went through decades of soul-searching before moving on to more centrist candidates, he said. “It took a long time for the Democrats to go from George McGovern to Bill Clinton."
And even if the party follows Huntsman's lead, there's no guarantee he would ever be on the ballot as a presidential candidate.
“Talking in elite circles is one thing. Becoming the standard-bearer of the party is something else,” Scala said, noting Huntsman has already likely alienated party leaders with his criticism of the GOP.
A question of message
Rep. Jason Chaffetz, R-Utah, said what the GOP needs to do is sell its message better, not change what it stands for to try to appease voters.
“I think we do a pathetic job of communicating,” Chaffetz said, calling it an “oversimplification” to suggest the party was too extreme and unwilling to compromise.
Chaffetz, who ran Huntsman's first campaign for governor and served as his chief of staff, said they're very different politically. He not only endorsed Romney in the 2012 presidential race but campaigned around the country for him.
Huntsman, Chaffetz said, is “fairly conservative on some issues. On other issues, he's much further to the left than, I think, the rest of the nation,” citing Huntsman's support for cap and trade programs with emissions permits to control climate change.
“Cap and trade is not going to be a winning issue for Republicans — not now and not in 2020,” Chaffetz said. “When it comes to fiscal discipline and all that, foreign affairs, Jon Huntsman is as rock solid as you get.”
As far as any chance Huntsman has in 2016 or beyond, Chaffetz said he's “probably made it more difficult."
"I wish him nothing but the best," he said. "But I still have a box of Kleenex by my bed after” Romney's loss.
Utah tea party organizer David Kirkham also backed Romney in the last election. He described Huntsman as “quite moderate, obviously,” and too big a spender on government programs.
“I think maybe he has the worst of both worlds,” Kirkham said. “Does he have a future? I don't know. That's up to the people. I would hope we are moving to more fiscally responsible spending.”
Kirkham said while both political parties should avoid extremism, it's not clear the GOP needs to make any shift in direction.
“I don't know what the definition of moving to the center is,” he said. “Really, all the tea party has ever fought for is fiscal responsibility. That's it. We haven't been involved in any of the social issues.”
Utah's only Democrat in Congress, Rep. Jim Matheson, said he is concerned for both political parties “to the extent their more ideological extreme elements tend to have a more disproportionate role.”
Matheson said most Americans, including Utahns, tend to be more centrist regardless of party affiliation.
“I think both parties need to be careful about representing the significant amounts of America that are looking for something that is a little more constructive,” he said.
It's likely too soon for Republicans to make changes in their party, Matheson said. Despite losing the White House and not regaining control of the Senate in November, the GOP continues to hold a majority in the House.
“Look, two years ago, the Republican Party was on a high,” Matheson said, referring to the GOP sweep in the 2010 midterm elections. “I'm just not prepared to say, ‘Oh, they lost their election. That means they have to change.' I think we have to take a little bit of a broader view.”
Matheson, who won his own tough race for the state's new 4th District congressional seat, was reluctant to rate Huntsman's chances as a presidential candidate.
“I just think he's an exceptional person. I just feel that regardless of party affiliation,” he said. “I don't think his politics and mine are that different. So what can I say?”
Ornstein, who recently wrote a column suggesting Huntsman would be a good choice to replace House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, said there's plenty of time for Huntsman to make a mark.
“Lots of things can happen,” Ornstein said. “He's still a young man.”
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