Forbes statistical analysis gives RSL 2.85 percent chance to win the MLS cup

Published: Wednesday, Oct. 31 2012 4:50 p.m. MDT

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Summary

According to Forbes contributor Zach Slaton Real Salt Lake has a 2.85-percent chance of winning the MLS Cup. Slaton, who uses advanced statistical models to analyze soccer matches, says the addition of the two-legged aggregate goal format to the ML

• Sporting Kansas City, considered by many to be the favorite to win it all, will easily beat Houston.

Conference finals

• San Jose will defeat Real Salt Lake. In the Western Conference, RSL has the highest likelihood of any team to upset the Earthquakes with a 10-percent chance.

• D.C will defeat Sporting KC.

MLS Cup Final

• San Jose will defeat DC United. According to Slaton the reason for San Jose's incredibly high probability for winning is that the Earthquakes have a "perfect storm" of high goal differential and median minutes played while having played a relatively low amount of total games.

Ryan Carreon is a web editor for the Deseret News. E-mail him at rcarreon@desnews.com.

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About the Author

Ryan Carreon

Ryan Carreon graduated with a degree in communication from of Brigham Young University-Idaho..

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