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Associated Press: Predicting the 1st round of NFL draft

By Barry Wilner

Associated Press

Published: Wednesday, April 24 2013 8:50 p.m. MDT

FILE - In this Feb. 25, 2013 file photo, Dion Jordan runs a drill at the NFL football scouting combine in Indianapolis. Jordan is considered a possible first round pick at the NFL Draft on Thursday, April 25, 2013 (AP Photo/Michael Conroy, File)

Associated Press

NEW YORK (AP) — Get me out of here.

Maneuvering to move down in Thursday night's first round of the draft will be a common behind-the-scenes scramble. There simply are few franchise-type players teams will be enamored of, yet plenty of depth to make picking up extra picks later on a worthwhile strategy.

The big bodies will dominate the opening round. Look for 17 of them to go in the top 32 at Radio City Music Hall.

The mock draft presumes no trades (but 100 percent accuracy).

1. KANSAS CITY (2-14)

The Chiefs already have their quarterback — not that it is worth taking one at the top this year — and a good running game. The guy who could be the cornerstone for the entire offense, as well as QB Alex Smith's protector for next few years, plays left tackle.

LUKE JOECKEL, OT, TEXAS A&M

2. JACKSONVILLE (2-14)

Unlike the Chiefs, the Jaguars are virtually devoid of talent everywhere. So anyone they choose will be an upgrade. There's talk they could jettison Blaine Gabbert, their first-round pick two years ago, and go for Geno Smith at quarterback. They'd love to trade down, but if not, they'll upgrade the pass rush and defensive athleticism instead.

DION JORDAN, DE-OLB, OREGON

3. OAKLAND (4-12)

By far the worst team in drafts over the last decade. But now there's a new regime under Reggie McKenzie, who learned his trade in Green Bay, one of the best drafting clubs of recent years. Like Jacksonville, Oakland could go anywhere with this pick, but is less likely to look to move down.

ERIC FISHER, OT, CENTRAL MICHIGAN

4. PHILADELPHIA (4-12)

The Chip Kelly no-holds-barred, breakneck offense needs speedy playmakers, something the Eagles already have. What they don't have: enough bigtime defenders. They go for a huge one in ...

SHARRIF FLOYD, DT, FLORIDA

5. DETROIT (4-12)

Coming off a distressing collapse in which they gave up 437 points, the Lions must find a way to close the wide-open door to their end zone. They're fortunate to have several options here, and go for the pass rusher.

ZIGGY ANSAH, DE, BYU

6. CLEVELAND (5-11)

After holding their breath that the cornerback they seek will be on the board — the previous three teams all have a need there — the Browns can exhale and call the name ...

DEE MILLINER, CB, ALABAMA

7. ARIZONA (5-11)

If they can't trade down, the Cardinals won't have to swallow hard to upgrade their offensive line with a proven winner and another Crimson Tide player.

CHANCE WARMACK, G, ALABAMA

8. BUFFALO (6-10)

Every team puts up smoke screens before the draft. And the Bills sure seem to have polluted the air with them because we think they aren't convinced Kevin Kolb or Tarvaris Jackson is more than a backup or fill-in QB. So the first quarterback off the board is ...

GENO SMITH, QB, WEST VIRGINIA

9. NEW YORK JETS (6-10)

Having finally dealt Darrelle Revis, the Jets could look at a cornerback here, perhaps FSU's Xavier Rhodes. And, yes, they might have considered Smith. But someone who can get to the quarterback from the outside is a must for Rex Ryan's defense.

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