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5 ways GOP could finally settle presidential race

Utah is the last state to hold a primary prior to convention

By Connie Cass

Associated Press

Published: Saturday, March 24 2012 8:52 p.m. MDT

Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney speaks at a campaign stop at an American Legion post in Arbutus, Md., Wednesday, March 21, 2012.

Steven Senne, Associated Press

WASHINGTON — Are we there yet? Not quite. Mitt Romney's two steps forward, one flub back campaign continues its tantalizing progress toward a total victory that always seems just ahead.

Still, the Republican presidential race has got to end sometime, whether it's April or August. Here are five ways to settle this thing:

1. The likeliest route

Romney pulls off a clean win by the time the last state votes in June.

Sure, he's cutting it closer than he'd like, but if Romney keeps up his current pace he can win the necessary majority — 1,144 delegates — by June 26, if not sooner. Last-chance Utah, where Romney is embraced by a large population of fellow Mormons, would make a poignant wrap-up.

After Louisiana's primary Saturday, 21 states and the District of Columbia have yet to vote, and Romney's about halfway to the magic number, according to The Associated Press delegate count. If he hits his mathematical mark — or if his only rival within shouting distance, Rick Santorum, drops out — Romney instantly becomes the presumptive nominee and the general election race is on.

But Santorum and Newt Gingrich are trying to prevent that tidy Romney finish by sticking in the contest and drawing away votes. That strategy comes as many Republicans are eager to choose a champion and turn the party's attention to defeating President Barack Obama.

2. Flying to the rescue

Superdelegates can speed up the finish.

They were empowered just for this sort of scenario. All members of the Republican National Committee automatically attend the nominating convention, and 117 of them are superdelegates whose state party rules leave them free to vote however they choose.

So far most have stayed on the sidelines while the primary plays out. Romney's big win in Illinois and a growing sense of inevitability may draw more superdelegates to endorse him, allowing him to claim the status of presumptive nominee sooner than he otherwise could.

If Romney comes up just shy in the state-by-state voting, superdelegates could push him over the top before the Republican National Convention. They would have plenty of incentive to cut to the finale.

The goal when the GOP meets Aug. 27 in Tampa, Fla., is four scripted days of television that play like a campaign commercial for the nominee, not a reality show full of squabbling factions.

"The Republicans understand the risks of taking this family feud to the convention," said Democrat Donna Brazile, who advised Bill Clinton's presidential campaigns.

Any public bickering would be especially poorly timed this year: The Democrats' meticulously crafted convention, showcasing a president who faced no challengers within his party, comes the week after the Republicans meet.

3. Contested convention

Suddenly the long-winded roll call of the states gets interesting.

If Romney fails to snag the necessary delegates, Republicans can buckle up for their most tumultuous convention since Ronald Reagan nearly stole the nomination from President Gerald Ford in 1976.

Ford, lifted to the presidency through Richard Nixon's resignation, had accumulated more delegates than the more conservative, charismatic Reagan. But Ford was short of a majority, leaving the Kansas City convention's outcome in doubt. A rules fight launched and lost by the Reagan forces added to the drama. The tension didn't ease until the roll call vote: Ford eked out the nomination, 1,187 votes to 1,070.

Like Ford, Romney's goal would be to coax more people to his side for that crucial first vote, when most delegates are obligated by state party rules to support the candidate chosen by the voters back home.

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