Stocks rise after G-20 say stimulus will stay

By Carlo Piovano

AP Business Writer

Published: Monday, Sept. 7 2009 1:35 p.m. MDT

LONDON — European and Asian stocks rose Monday after finance officials from 20 rich and developing countries pledged to keep in place their massive stimulus programs to prop up the global economy.

News of corporate takeover activity, with Cadbury rejecting a $16.7 billion takeover offer from Kraft, also helped stocks start the week well on a day when Wall Street will be closed for the Labor Day holiday.

Germany's DAX rose 77.80 points, or 1.4 percent, to 5,462.23 while Britain's FTSE 100 gained 64.47 points, or 1.3 percent, to 4,916.17. France's CAC-40 added 46.71, or 1.3 percent, to 3,645.47.

Benchmarks in Japan, Hong Kong and China added about 1 percent or more after Beijing said it would allow greater access to foreign investors.

Investors reacted positively to the weekend announcements from finance officials at the Group of 20 summit in London, which acknowledged some improvements in economic growth but warned recovery was not sustainable without continued help from governments in the form of deficit spending, low interest rates and efforts to expand the money supply.

"It will come as a relief to markets that G-20 central bankers and finance ministers agreed that it was too early to begin withdrawing massive fiscal, monetary and financial support," said Mitul Kotecha, analyst at Calyon.

Markets had been worried that nascent signs of economic recovery would lead countries to unwind their stimulus, but the G-20 dispelled those fears.

"It is hardly surprising that officials are not formulating an early exit from emergency measures, especially given the ongoing uncertainty about the pace and shape of global economic recovery," said Kotecha.

He said growing doubts about the duration of an economic rebound will "pose a risk to the sustainability of any equity rally over coming months" as stocks look increasingly overvalued.

"Amongst the factors needed is some clarity about the pace and shape of growth once stimulus is reversed."

Stock markets were also helped by the news that Kraft Foods Inc. proposed a 10.2 billion pounds ($16.7 billion) takeover of Cadbury PLC. The offer was immediately rejected as too low by the British maker of chocolate, gum and candy, but Kraft said it was determined to find an adequate offer. Cadbury shares shot up 38 percent.

"A key question is whether there is a counter bid, most likely from a Nestle-led consortium," said Graham Jones, analyst at Panmure Gordon & Co. "However, we see the most likely scenario being Kraft being successful on improved terms."

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