Probably better to overreact than underplay this flu
If you're having trouble imagining the great Spanish flu of 1918, this description from "The Great Influenza" by John M. Barry might help:
"Death itself could come so fast. Charles-Edward Winslow, a prominent epidemiologist and professor at Yale, noted, 'We have had a number of cases where people were perfectly healthy and died within 12 hours.' "
Or maybe this, paraphrased from "The Plague of the Spanish Lady," by Richard Collier:
"In Rio de Janeiro, a man asked medical student Ciro Viera Da Cunha, who was waiting for a streetcar, for information in a perfectly normal voice, then fell down, dead; in Cape Town, South Africa, Charles Lewis boarded a streetcar for a three-mile trip home when the conductor collapsed, dead. In the next three miles six people aboard the streetcar died, including the driver."
If, like me, you are getting a bit tired of the flu! flu! flu! hyperventilations in the media, here are some things to consider:
Pandemics are among the toughest tests any public official can face, because they are so difficult to predict. On the one hand, you have the grim reaper version of musical chairs that turned 1918 into something Stephen King would have trouble describing with proper horror. On the other, you have 1976, the year President Gerald Ford was so certain we were headed for a swine flu plague that he convinced Congress to fund a nationwide inoculation program, complete with terrifying television ads about how carelessly people could spread trouble ("Betty's mother gave it to her best friend, Dottie. But Dottie had a heart condition and she died. But before she died, Dottie gave it to her girlfriend, her mailman, the paperboy and the vet when she went to pick up her chihuahua," was the cheery message of one).
A grand total of one person died from swine flu that year. However, many more than that died of complications from the vaccine.
Politically, a suspected pandemic is like a tightrope over snapping alligators. You walk it carefully, at your own peril. Ford was criticized for overreacting with a cure that was worse than the disease. But what type of criticism would he have endured if he hadn't urged inoculations and an influenza tsunami had washed over the land?
Recent comments
would be my choice of words here. Over reaction tends to create...
Anticipation | May 3, 2009 at 9:24 a.m.
It is the flu, everybody gets the flu each year. The overreaction is...
cb | May 3, 2009 at 8:21 a.m.
It is interesting that there was only one noted death of the swine...
MAR | May 3, 2009 at 7:52 a.m.
- Tuesday on TV 12:13 a.m.
- 'Dancing' will fill out finale 12:13 a.m.
- I'll take doc's advice on mammogram 12:12 a.m.
- Editorial: Winning fans' hearts 12:11 a.m.
- Afterthoughts 12:11 a.m.
- Letters: Barzee case like Jeffs' 12:11 a.m.
- Letters: Trump card for believers 12:11 a.m.
- Letters: Can't erase genetics 12:11 a.m.
- Letters: Rushing to judge Palin 12:11 a.m.
- Letters: MLS not BCS 12:11 a.m.
- Real Champions
- Bronco, Kyle rubber match
- Protests against Phoenix LDS temple
- BYU's Lamb, Jorgensen reprimanded
- RSL wins MLS Cup on penalty kicks
- Plenty on line for rivalry game
- Time for big matchups in WAC, MWC
- BCS at-large bids up for grabs
- Hall, Johnson matchup key
- Fans greet returning Real Salt Lake
- Glenn Beck to enter politics?
212 - RSL wins MLS Cup on penalty kicks
195 - Palin plans tour stop in Utah
178 - Palin's book shows she's unqualified
132 - BYU records with win
132 - Bronco, Kyle rubber match
130 - Protests against Phoenix LDS temple
109 - BYU cuts Women's Research Inst.
103 - Officer cleared in Cardall Taser case
103 - Jazz finally win in San Antonio
99
I hope Donny wins. His humility, courage and humor are very refreshing....
but it is Provo's Craig Drury polishing his 8 rings as head coach.
Like the newspaper said, "...the first time since '84 national...
I think Mya did not deserve the nine's from the 3 judges on her free dance -...
College football will NEVER revert to the old bowl system. It has gone too...
We don't need another layer of government, which obviously represents more...
And this surprises someone? It's too easy in Utah to deceive the masses....
We cannot afford this monstrosity! Any claims that it will save money are...
I grew up in SLC and have always been a huge BYU fan. Honestly I can say most...
These are not essential government programs needed to ensure our national...

