From Deseret News archives:
Exit polls yield some very interesting information
While some people may deride voter exit polls, they really are one of the best ways to find out all kinds of things about an election and the citizens who participate in them.
As is usually the case, the Deseret News' pollster, Dan Jones & Associates, conducted an exit poll for KSL-TV on Nov. 4. The immediate results were used on KSL the night of the election to predict — before the votes were actually counted — who would win in different races or ballot issues.
I like to study the demographics of such exit polls, looking a bit deeper, if you will, to see trends and voting patterns underneath the candidate favoritisms.
And the results from the Nov. 4 exit poll show a great willingness on the part of LDS and politically independent voters to cast a ballot for a Democrat. (Jones' exit poll, along with his pre-election poll for the newspaper and TV station, also shows he had a good year — producing some of the most accurate polls when compared to actual vote totals.)
Who knows if 2008 is a trend year or just a reflection of deep, real displeasure of the job President George W. Bush and some national Republicans have done over the last eight years? Certainly the meltdown of the national economy and financial systems the final weeks before the vote impacted results.
And considering the Democratic wave that flowed in many states this year, Utah remains one of the most Republican states in the nation. Only moderate gains were made here by the minority party in Salt Lake County positions and the Utah Legislature.
Still, there were some significant wins for Utah Democrats. And the leadership elections in the Utah House and Senate also reflected a desire for change — a displeasure in some quarters in how things have been going.
Here are some of the more interesting results of Jones' exit poll on Nov. 4:
The Barack Obama and John McCain contest in Utah broke out clearly along party lines — 94 percent of Democrats voted for Obama, 90 percent of the Republicans voted for McCain. Since there are more Republicans than Democrats in Utah, of course McCain won here. Still, Obama actually won by a few hundred votes in Salt Lake County, nothing to sneeze at in a presidential race in Utah.
Obama picked up most of the politically independent votes, 48 percent to 43 percent across the state. That also is good news for Democrats, since it shows that independent voters, even in some conservative parts of Utah, were willing to consider the Democratic Party's presidential nominee.
Recent comments
Having talk to others,
What this election and the polls showed was...
Honesty | Nov. 21, 2008 at 4:02 p.m.
@Micah 1:05.
Well said.
Joe Moe | Nov. 21, 2008 at 1:15 p.m.
Joe Moe,
Lemmings simply follow the crowd - even if it means over...
Micah | Nov. 21, 2008 at 1:05 p.m.
- 911 tapes of Woods' crash on Sun. 12:53 p.m.
- Zardari turns over nuclear authority 12:30 p.m.
- Landreth Seed Co. turns 225 12:18 p.m.
- Residents startle Provo burglars 11:57 a.m.
- Akron fires coach J.D. Brookhart 11:41 a.m.
- Canada engineers walk off job 11:35 a.m.
- Christmas shoeboxes for veterans 11:32 a.m.
- Roethlisberger sidelined 11:29 a.m.
- Louisville fires coach Kragthorpe 11:06 a.m.
- Houseplants can flourish 11:00 a.m.
- Cave to be sealed with body inside
- Predicting the unpredictable: BYU wins
- Vegas, Poinsettia bowls or bust
- Efforts to save a life praised
- Rivalry Week is highly profane
- Glover gives Utes last-second upset
- BYU's old uniforms?
- Man trapped in Nutty Putty cave dies
- Cougars turn back Wildcats'
- BYU football: 5 keys to victory
- BYU would like friendlier rivalry
271 - Protests against Phoenix LDS temple
214 - Thunder rolls by Jazz
136 - Letters: Rushing to judge Palin
134 - Boys basketball rankings
130 - Editorial: Poor welcome for Palin
113 - Man trapped in Nutty Putty cave dies
110 - Cave to be sealed with body inside
106 - Letters: Trump card for believers
97 - Rivalry Week is highly profane
87
Most of the concerns voiced here are not valid, and they are clearly voiced...
The "general welfare" clause applies to the daily functioning of the United...
There are far more athiest/agnostics than Mormons in America and the...
Shut it down. Plain and simple.
Please, please, please - GIVE IT A REST! Your whining and constant...
I do not know if there is gobal warming or not. I think that is the wrong...
"Non-religious shoving their beliefs down the throats of the rest of us?"...
I hope when I am in my seventies I no longer have mortgage and rent payments...
Good luck. Should be a fun game. Teams seem equal in total package even if...
Don't hate!!! BYU and Utah fans are the same - they all applied to BYU, no...

