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Analysis: Iowa win helps Mitt Romney, but lacks luster

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By Charles Babington

Associated Press

Published: Wednesday, Jan. 4 2012 7:21 a.m. MST

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Summary

Mitt Romney's whisker-thin Iowa caucus victory was underwhelming in scope and anti-climactic in its finality. But it moves him closer to the Republican presidential nomination chiefly because of who finished fourth and fifth.

More Coverage
  • Iowa: Romney wins Iowa by 8 votes

  • Official: McCain to endorse Romney

Nonetheless, Romney is poised to do something no Republican has done in recent times: follow a contested Iowa caucus victory with a primary win in New Hampshire. New Hampshire voters have shown contrarian streaks before. But a Romney loss there would rank as a huge upset.

Even if he carries New Hampshire, Romney won't be home free. His Mormonism could hurt him in South Carolina, whose primary is Jan. 21. But with Perry and Gingrich wounded, it's unclear who can take full advantage.

Romney might be able to endure a poor finish in South Carolina and move on strongly to Florida, which votes on Jan. 31. It's a sprawling, diverse and expensive state for candidates. Romney has proven to be the best fundraiser, organizer and strategist thus far.

Democrats were hoping for a slow and difficult start for Romney. They want to see him battered, and bled of money, for as long as possible before the summer nominating conventions.

Iowa's results leave both parties with plenty of disappointments.

EDITOR'S NOTE - Charles Babington covers national politics for The Associated Press.

Related Stories
  • Iowa: Romney wins Iowa by 8 votes

  • Official: McCain to endorse Romney

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Featured Comments

See all 15 comments »
Doug10
Roosevelt, UT

After 4 years of running for president he still has 25% of the vote. Not all the vote just 25% of the Republican vote.

He is not wearing down the competition he is wearing down the voters.

I would like to see more sizzle with More..

  • 8:35 a.m. Jan. 4, 2012
  • Top comment
SammyB
Provo, UT

People see what they want to see. Romney gave an enthusiastic, amazing speech last night and the media said it was boring. Romney held on to his 2008 voters in Iowa despite a bigger field with the vote split by many candidates...amazing.

More..

  • 9:09 a.m. Jan. 4, 2012
  • Top comment
Pagan
Salt Lake City, UT

Hey, hey!

Romney WON!

It was just by...8 votes. :)

  • 10:02 a.m. Jan. 4, 2012
  • Top comment
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