Mark Lennihan, File, Associated Press
LONDON — Upward momentum in global stock markets came to a halt Thursday after slightly disappointing weekly U.S. jobless claims figures reined in enthusiasm generated by a forecast-busting survey the previous day.
By mid-afternoon London time, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 22.85 points, or 0.4 percent, at 6,066.71 while Germany's DAX rose 72.99 points, or 1.1 percent, to 7,012.81. The CAC-40 in France was 26.26 points, or 0.7 percent, higher at 3,930.87.
In the U.S., the Dow Jones industrial average was down around 4 points at 11,719 soon after the open while the broader Standard & Poor's 500 index fell a point to 1,275.63.
Mounting hopes over the pace of the U.S. economic recovery following exceptionally strong jobs data lifted sentiment around the world Wednesday and into Thursday, sending stocks and the dollar sharply higher.
However, figures showing a bigger than expected 18,000 increase in weekly jobless claims to 409,000 stoked some concerns that the optimism surrounding Friday's nonfarm payrolls report for December may have been overdone.
Expectations for the payrolls report have swelled following figures Wednesday from ADP showing that a massive 297,000 private sector jobs were added in December. That was up on November's 92,000 and significantly ahead of market expectations for a 100,000 increase.
Analysts have been quick to raise their predictions for Friday's government report, and the expectation now is that around 175,000 jobs, both private and public, were added over the month, up from 140,000 before the ADP data.
The scale of the upward revisions have been so great, that there's now plenty of room for disappointment, said Alan Ruskin, an analyst at Deutsche Bank.
Ruskin said "sustained damage" to the improved appetite for risk in the markets could emerge if private payrolls only increase by 125,000 or less.
Overall though, the consensus is that more jobs in the U.S. is obviously good news for stocks because it signifies that the world's largest economy is growing faster than before.
However, it could pose problems because it may also prompt the Federal Reserve to start withdrawing its monetary stimulus sooner than previously expected. As well as cutting its key interest rate to near zero percent, the Fed has authorized two massive money injections into the U.S. economy and is currently in the middle of a $600 billion effort.
Those tentative concerns that the Fed may soon alter course seemed to weigh on stocks in the immediate aftermath of the U.S. jobs data but the optimists soon took charge — after all, higher growth means bigger profits and earnings.
The dollar had no such conflict as Treasury yields spiked sharply higher. That means that holding dollars is more attractive because the returns are potentially greater.
"The ADP report provided yet another clear signal that U.S. labor market conditions are improving, helping to further reassure investors over the sustainability of the U.S. economic recovery," said Lee Hardman, a currency economist at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ.
The dollar remained buoyant Thursday, trading only 0.2 percent lower on the day at 83.23 yen. However, it has gained further ground against the euro, which was down 0.3 percent at $1.3110.
With the markets so fixated on developments in the U.S., developments in Europe's debt crisis are taking a backseat — to the likely relief of the eurozone's policymakers.
Perhaps, the debt crisis' move away from the spotlight has helped a run of government bond auctions run smoothly. France easily sold €9 billion bonds Thursday, following on from successful auctions Wednesday from Germany and Portugal.
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