Poll shows Sen. Bob Bennett in trouble with Utah GOP delegates

SALT LAKE CITY — Sen. Bob Bennett's 18-year career in the U.S. Senate could well end in the state GOP convention in two weeks, a broad-ranging new poll of Republican state delegates by the Deseret News and KSL-TV shows.

The Dan Jones & Associates survey, which is also sponsored by the Utah Foundation and the University of Utah's Hinckley Institute of Politics, shows that Bennett, R-Utah, faces a big challenge among the 3,500 Republican delegates who will vote on him and seven other GOP Senate candidates May 8.

Just one key number from the Jones survey: 41 percent of the delegates said they absolutely will not vote for Bennett.

GOP convention rules say the ultimate second-place finisher must have at least 40 percent of the delegate vote to avoid final elimination. And the survey shows Bennett may not reach that percentage in the three rounds of voting.

No U.S. senator from Utah has been run out of office before a general election — defeated in either in a party primary or convention — since the early 1940s.

Hearing the poll results, Bennett said, "It appears this is a two-man race" between himself and attorney Mike Lee.

Despite the hard road at the convention, which Bennett said he recognizes, he's still confident he'll survive to a June GOP primary. "I'd be in good shape there," he added.

A Bennett defeat in the party convention could have far-reaching impacts.

It could change future major elective races in Utah, with candidates paying even greater attention to delegates.

And among the general public it could raise the question of whether the current convention-primary system used by both the Republican and Democratic parties is actually a fair and open process.

Bennett leads voters

While Bennett is in trouble with delegates, he has the lead among Senate candidates among registered Utah voters, although his support there is historically low for a Republican incumbent. According to the Jones poll of Utah voters, Bennett has 27 percent support, while Lee has 9 percent. Businessman Sam Granato, the leading Democrat, is favored by only 5 percent of voters, Jones found.

A large 38 percent of voters are undecided.