From Deseret News archives:
Mitt's presidential bid just beginning
Every logical indicator points to 2008 being a large year for Democrats, with 30 percent more registered Democrats nationally, President Bush's approval ratings mired in the low 30s and with enormous enthusiasm for the Democratic presidential candidates. After all, Democrats are seeing over 20 percent greater participation in their primaries compared to Republicans and collectively have raised more than 30 percent more in campaign funds than their GOP counterparts. Yes, John McCain may overcome all this and defeat Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama, but if not, Mitt Romney might have the last laugh.
Clearly a defeated John McCain would not be the GOP nominee in 2012. Not only would he be 76 years old that year, but it has been decades since a party nominated the same losing candidate a second time (Nixon in 1968). What we do see in modern presidential politics, especially with the Republican Party, is that those who run well and don't quite clinch the nomination today are front-runners the next time around.
George W. Bush did not have to first be an also-ran before winning the nomination in 2000, but with his unique political pedigree he was granted an exception to this rule. Ford also did not initially run for the Republican nomination, but he also came to the office under unusual circumstances. But besides these two exceptions, it has been 44 years since the Republican Party has given the nomination to someone who did not first run and lose the party's nod. Why should 2012 be any different?
So if history is any indicator, a Democrat victory in November would spell the end of John McCain and the genesis of a Romney resurgence in 2012. With Mitt's fundraising prowess and deep personal pockets, he would be poised to mount a serious comeback. He has also learned much this time around and found his voice and authentic stump style later in the campaign.
At age 64, he would still be spry and presidential looking, and his shifted position on abortion would be even further in the past. And who knows, after four years of the Clintons back in the White House or some bumpy years with Obama steering the nation too far left, the political landscape may be far friendlier to the GOP nominee in 2012 than in 2008. Maybe in the end, Mitt's best shot at ultimately winning the White House was to lose in 2008 so he can go all the way in four years.
Michael K. Winder is the author of "Presidents and Prophets: The Story of America's Presidents and the LDS Church" and a member of the Utah Board of State History.
Recent comments
Well, by now you know that I don't believe that the last 7 years have...
Ardent | Feb. 11, 2008 at 9:24 p.m.
ARDENT---If the next four years brings a bigger mess than the last...
shecky | Feb. 11, 2008 at 8:44 p.m.
To: liberal means letting go
I have actually heard fo that...
funny stuff | Feb. 11, 2008 at 8:27 p.m.
- Utah State campus briefs 12:59 a.m.
- Utah Utes softball: Five recruits sign 12:57 a.m.
- T-Bird D fine without star player 12:32 a.m.
- Musicians leave audience in awe 12:23 a.m.
- Sports on the air 12:06 a.m.
- LDS families let TLC into home, business 12:05 a.m.
- Kehl represents faith in different blue 12:05 a.m.
- Why music lessons matter 12:04 a.m.
- Editorial: Trying to catch the wind 12:04 a.m.
- Gov't-run health-care system 12:04 a.m.
- MWC expand? Get rid of deadweight
- Relieved Cougs prep for Falcons
- Wounded Utes limp home
- Jazz rookies had to grow up quickly
- Barzee is expected to plead guilty
- Big games keep UHSAA coffers full
- Sloan misses practice
- Low in vit. D? Beware heart disease
- RSL surprised by Chicago's Fire
- Jazz notes: Young bigs ride bench
- TCU creams U.
233 - BYU happy to escape with victory
232 - Editorial: Mormons and gay rights
226 - Will state consider gay rights law?
162 - RSL heads to MLS title game
134 - Can BYU root for (ick) Utah Utes?
133 - MWC expand? Get rid of deadweight
124 - TCU stays 4th in AP; Y. 19th, U. 23rd
115 - 5A: Bingham rolls to title game
108 - Bennett at center of GOP storm
89
I was a bit under the weather last week, which gave me some time to...
and no child should have to put up with sexual abuse. I know. I was abused...
So.. Government would run health care. Government option would keep others...
Good luck boys, take state for the south. Let it all go on the cold field....
I have been involved with Scouting for over 40 years and still believe it is...
To another quiz: I just took the quiz, it is very informative. I am pretty...
is long long over due...playoff between the top 8 in the league, and no silly...
That was not very good to say. Cant spell Hurricane becouse you dont live...
But did you notice Joanna did the same thing last week and still received...
Funny- Fox sports top 25 power rankings Week 11. #4 TCU #9 Boise State...
Boy, are we working hard to sell this or what? THe 45,000 homes thing is a...

