From Deseret News archives:
Housing boom fizzles
In December, permits issued for new houses, condominiums and apartments across the state fell to 1,551 units, a 21.1 percent drop from the number of permits issued during the same month in 2005, according to a report from the University of Utah's Bureau of Economic and Business Research.
December's sluggish numbers followed a weak November, when residential permits dropped 24.7 percent. In October, permits were up 2.1 percent, but August and September also showed double-digit declines.
The monthly declines left total residential permits for the year at 26,322 units, a 6.9 percent drop from 2005's record 28,285 permits. The 2006 decline was nearly two percentage points higher than the preliminary 5 percent drop predicted earlier this year by Gov. Jon Huntsman Jr.'s economic advisers.
Permits in Herriman were down 52 percent in 2006 compared to 2005, while Riverton saw new permits fall by 29 percent. Salt Lake City permits dropped 69 percent. St. George saw a 43 percent decline, and West Jordan witnessed a 36 percent decrease.
James Wood, director of the U. bureau, predicts that permits in 2007 will be down another 10 percent.
Wood said part of the decline going forward can be blamed on demographics.
"We don't have as many young kids forming households 25- to 29-year-olds," Wood said. "What drives demand for housing is household formation. In-migration can offset that."
Wood said fewer homes being built could affect the state's economy, where one out of four jobs created in recent years has been in the construction industry. But the current downturn likely will mirror a similar cycle that occurred in the late 1990s, where residential building permits dropped by nearly 25 percent over a four-year period, he said.
Two other housing downturns in Utah during the 1970s and 1980s were more severe. Each of those housing busts saw the number of residential permits fall by 70 percent. Wood said those downturns were aggravated by high mortgage interest rates.
Jeff Thredgold, president of Salt Lake-based Thredgold Economic Associates and a consultant to Zions Bank, believes current interest rates should stay at historically attractive levels, which should support the housing market.
Comments
- S.L. could up fees to rec facilities 5:55 p.m.
- Utah GOP opposes ethics initiative 5:45 p.m.
- Alternative to climate change? 5:40 p.m.
- Utah sells most 'New Moon' tickets 5:39 p.m.
- The origins of Thanksgiving Day 5:07 p.m.
- Test your Thanksgiving Day IQ 5:07 p.m.
- Fun facts about Thanksgiving 5:06 p.m.
- Words of thanks 5:06 p.m.
- Animal lovers blast grandma 5:06 p.m.
- Save glass coffee carafe 5:06 p.m.
- Real Champions
- Bronco, Kyle rubber match
- RSL wins MLS Cup on penalty kicks
- Plenty on line for rivalry game
- BCS at-large bids up for grabs
- Time for big matchups in WAC, MWC
- Protests against Phoenix LDS temple
- Hall, Johnson matchup key
- Is talking about religion taboo?
- BYU's Lamb, Jorgensen reprimanded
- Buttars wants to limit gay rights laws
214 - Glenn Beck to enter politics?
212 - RSL wins MLS Cup on penalty kicks
192 - Palin plans tour stop in Utah
178 - BYU records with win
132 - Palin's book shows she's unqualified
131 - Bronco, Kyle rubber match
117 - Officer cleared in Cardall Taser case
103 - BYU cuts Women's Research Inst.
103 - Jazz finally win in San Antonio
99
Are you a small business owner who can't afford a holiday party this year?
pausing for 1/2 a minute!?! AND thumping the podium!?! someone wants...
is not exactly the best of coaches and BYU would be better off without him,...
And your education or expertise??? I know...You've read Al Gore's book and...
Prepared to be shocked. It happening right under your nose.
I don't think the protesters would feel exactly the same way if it were a...
If the temple is built please do not baptise any of my ancestors. I ask you...
This comment section is not a good thing because you let some be mean and...
The guy has class not to mention impecable touch on the ball. He has been a...
Florida is one of the top 15 party schools, while BYU is one of the top 5...
Waxie, you are right. 100%



You can be the first to comment on this story.