From Deseret News archives:
Impossible to get a 'fair' coin toss
Answer: Surprise! A coin toss isn't "fair" at all. It took some deep digging by Stanford statistician and former magician Persi Diaconis, but after working with other mathematicians (including his wife) and technicians who constructed a mechanical-coin-tosser, Diaconis uncovered that a coin will come up heads 51% of the time if the heads start out on top, and vice versa.
So, if there's such a strong bias, why hadn't anybody ever discovered this before? Because you'd have to flip coins about 10,000 times and record the data VERY carefully to achieve statistical significance and become relatively certain of the finding.
Magician Diaconis is himself capable of flipping coins and getting them to come up either heads or tails 10 out of 10 times. Here he is careful to make the coin appear to turn over many times, but it really doesn't. The fact is, says Diaconis, that even when the coin is flipped with the intent of unloosing a "fair" toss, this is not humanly possible. Bias is going to creep in, and out the window inevitably will go 50-50.
Question: Would you say a bird flies more with its wings or its feathers? Isn't there a clue to be found in the ancient Greek myth of Icarus, who flew too close to the sun and plunged to his death in the sea?
Question: We humans are such social beings that it is an enormous benefit at times to know what's on each other's minds. So how do we do this?












