From Deseret News archives:
Orders for durable goods take off
Demand for aircraft helps propel July surge
Economists, however, remain worried that spreading economic weakness overseas and a rebound in the value of the dollar could spell an end to the export boom later this year.
The Commerce Department said Wednesday that orders for durable goods rose 1.3 percent last month, far above the slight 0.1 percent increase Wall Street had been expecting.
The July increase matched a 1.3 percent rise in June, which was revised up from an earlier reading of 0.8 percent. The matching gains were the strongest since orders for durable goods, items expected to last at least three years, jumped by 4.1 percent in December.
Wall Street investors were encouraged by the better-than-expected gain in durable goods orders. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 89.64 points to close at 11,502.51.
A huge rebound in orders for commercial aircraft, which had fallen sharply in June, led last month's strength. But even outside the volatile aircraft category, there was widespread growth, indicating that American companies are continuing to benefit from a boom in exports, due mainly to the decline in the value of the dollar earlier this year.
But some economists expressed concerns over how much longer the export boom can last, given spreading economic weakness in Europe, Japan and other major overseas markets. They noted that the dollar, which had been on a long slide, has come off its recent lows, which could translate into less of a price advantage for U.S. exporters.
"The recent downturn in growth abroad and stabilization of the dollar could put pressure on capital-goods spending in the months ahead," said Zach Pandl, an economist at Lehman Brothers.
Other analysts were impressed with the staying-power demonstrated in the new orders figures for June and July, and some said it showed the boost manufacturers are getting from increased demand by businesses hiking their investment spending to take advantage of $51 billion in business tax breaks included in the $168 billion economic-stimulus package passed by Congress in February.
The government will release its revised estimate for economic growth in the April-June quarter on Thursday, and economists said they were revising upward their estimates for both second quarter and third quarter gross domestic product growth, based on the better-than-expected orders numbers. GDP measures the value of all goods and services produced within the U.S. and is the broadest barometer of the country's economic health.
David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor's in New York, said he believed the current estimate of 1.9 percent GDP growth for the second quarter will be boosted to between 2.5 percent and 3 percent, while growth in the current quarter will be around 1.7 percent.
"Exports are holding up a lot better than we thought they would with the weakness in Europe and Japan, and we are seeing the impact of the stimulus package on business investment decisions," he said.
Comments
- BYU, Utah game highlights 10:20 a.m.
- Zimbabwe PM welcomes intervention 10:12 a.m.
- France, Rwanda agree to restore ties 10:06 a.m.
- Iran okays 10 enrichment sites 9:57 a.m.
- UAE to back banks amid meltdown 9:48 a.m.
- Sen. opposes a 2nd Bernanke term 9:39 a.m.
- NBA pressured to stop Adidas plan 9:34 a.m.
- Senate opens health care debate 9:30 a.m.
- Long road out of recession 9:24 a.m.
- Cougars beat Utes in overtime 1:11 a.m.
- Hall mouths off about hate of Utah
- Cougars beat Utes in overtime
- Cave to be sealed with body inside
- BYU is champion of the state
- Credit Coug defense for win
- Cougar defense rose to occasion
- Field goals, penalties doomed Utes
- Jones' joy for life remembered
- Predicting the unpredictable: BYU wins
- Man trapped in Nutty Putty cave dies
- Cougars beat Utes in overtime
414 - Hall mouths off about hate of Utah
260 - Thunder rolls by Jazz
136 - Cave to be sealed with body inside
115 - Man trapped in Nutty Putty cave dies
115 - Editorial: Poor welcome for Palin
113 - Rivalry Week is highly profane
89 - Hall's legacy measured today
75 - Y. focused on 10-win season
73 - Letters: C02 causes warming
71
If you're shopping online for gifts, take care. While there are some...
I am proud of Max Hall. Sure he didn't have a good game but when he had to he...
What Max said was unfortunate--generally sweeping generalizations like that...
BYU - please keep your 'throwback' jerseys and stop wearing Aggie blue.
Max pulled off a miracle as a sophomore QB and now he's pulle off another...
He said it the way a 24 year old means what his says about his rival. "We are...
I have been to one game at BYU several at Utah many at U of A,ASU,Vegasand in...
Loved his comments!! Amazing how many times we've heard Frute...
What alternative do you suggest? As you sit at home with fingers crossed...
Heck, even within hetrosexual marriages the definition varies. In my...
As a BYU fan I'm amazed at the careless rant. In the future, keep your mouth...



You can be the first to comment on this story.