Oil jumps $5 on U.S.-Russia tensions, sliding dollar
Crude's rally mimicked the wild price swings seen last month and have at least temporarily halted oil's slide back toward $100 a barrel. A weaker U.S. dollar and worries about tightening output from OPEC countries are also supporting prices.
After days of brushing off geopolitical flare-ups and a tropical storm, oil spiked above $122 a barrel as traders became rattled over increasingly hostile Russian rhetoric toward a U.S.-Poland deal to install a missile defense system in Eastern Europe — a move Moscow views as a threat.
The continued presence of Russian troops in Georgia — a key conduit for Western-bound oil shipments — injected even more bullish sentiment into a market that had appeared to be losing momentum on the idea that high energy prices were curbing demand.
Oil watchers said the market's sudden reaction to the standoff reflects a growing acknowledgment of Russia's bear-like influence over world energy supplies.
"People are finally realizing that this Russian situation has the potential to be bad for a very long time," said Addison Armstrong, director of market research at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Conn. "The Russians have shown evidence that they're willing to cut off energy supplies to advance their aims. There is concern that they are now going to be much more assertive in that area."
Russia is the world's second largest oil exporter after Saudi Arabia. It supplies a quarter of the European Union's oil and half of its natural gas. If those shipments were cut off, EU countries would be forced to seek supplies elsewhere at a time when spare crude capacity is already stretched to an extremely thin margin of about 2 million barrels per day, analysts say.
"If military activity heats up again, pipeline flows into Europe could be disrupted and that would affect the United States as well," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of energy consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates in Galena, Ill.
The price jump came as retail gas prices continued to fall, shedding more than a penny overnight to a new national average of $3.702, according to auto club AAA, the Oil Price Information Service and Wright Express. Prices have now fallen 10 percent from record highs above $4 a gallon set July 17, but the pace of the drop off could slow if oil holds onto Thursday's gains.
Recent comments
And the speculators are back at it again: Creating artificial demand…
Speculators | Aug. 21, 2008 at 10:44 a.m.
Glad the CNBC pundits saw this coming(sarcasm).
When the mainstream…Watch Out Below ...and Above | Aug. 21, 2008 at 10:12 a.m.
