Obama, McCain in tight battle

Presidential candidates essentially tied, poll says

Published: Wednesday, Aug. 20, 2008 12:13 a.m. MDT
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Barack Obama and John McCain are locked in a tight battle for president, with the Democrat capitalizing on voter concern over the economy and energy and the Republican benefiting from his experience and success in neutralizing the issue of the unpopular Iraq war.

The latest Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times poll shows that Obama, the first black major-party nominee, may have defused the issue of race, particularly among independents who will form a crucial voting bloc in the November election.

With the nominating conventions set to begin next week, Obama edges McCain 42 percent to 41 percent among registered voters; minor-party candidates garner 5 percent. In a head-to-head match-up, Obama has a 2-point advantage over McCain. The results are within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

The deteriorating economy and rising energy costs "have been major issues for so long and voters blame the Republicans and George Bush for the problems," says Susan Pinkus, the Los Angeles Times polling director. Still, Pinkus says, McCain has benefited from voters' concerns about Obama's experience and ability to handle an international crisis.

"With the economy doing so poorly and the unpopularity of the war in Iraq, Obama should be further ahead," she says.

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A bright spot for Obama is that many more Democrats say they are more enthusiastic about their candidate than Republicans.

As in previous surveys in this election cycle, the economy and Iraq remain the dominant issues. Four out of 10 voters choose the economy as the top priority for the candidates, with 45 percent saying Obama has better ideas for bolstering it, compared with 28 percent who pick McCain. About a third choose the war as the most important issue. Fuel prices and health care lag behind, according to the survey of 1,248 registered voters conducted Aug. 15-18.

Obama is favored by a margin of 39 percent to 32 percent over McCain as the candidate best able to deal with rising gas and oil prices.

Obama's proposals to invest in alternative energy, give $1,000 energy rebates to working families and his opposition to offshore drilling are favored by 44 percent of voters. McCain's plan to drill for oil off the U.S. coastline, build more nuclear power plants and give a $5,000 tax credit to those who buy an energy-efficient car is favored by 40 percent.

"I haven't had much respect for the way Republicans have handled things," says poll respondent Marianne Fox, 74, a Democrat and retired homemaker from Mason, Michigan.

Fox says Obama's approach to the economy is especially important in her home state, which leads the nation in unemployment.

"I think McCain is very much in the same mode as George Bush," she says.

Recent comments

There's at least one other good candidate in the race -- Bob Barr…

Carol | Aug. 20, 2008 at 12:52 p.m.

Obama leads McCain by 6 to 7 points.

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Democratic candidate Sen. Barack Obama looks for a question as he speaks Tuesday in Raleigh, N.C. (Alex Brandon, Associated Press)
Alex Brandon, Associated Press
Democratic candidate Sen. Barack Obama looks for a question as he speaks Tuesday in Raleigh, N.C.