Utah's business conditions get boost
The Zions Bank Small Business Conditions Index for Utah was 108.6 in October, up from a revised 106.6 in September.
The index measures business conditions from the viewpoint of a Utah small-business owner or manager. It uses 100.0 for calendar year 1997 as its base, and a higher number is associated with more favorable business conditions.
Utah's unemployment rate, the most heavily weighted element of the index, was at 2.7 percent in October, up from 2.6 percent the previous month and identical to the same month a year earlier. A higher unemployment rate is considered a positive in the index because it implies increased access to Utah labor.
Utah also is benefiting from an overall strong national economy, according to Jeff Thredgold, president of Salt Lake-based Thredgold Economic Associates, economic consultant to Zions Bank and author of the report.
"Despite the national media's obsession with one negative housing story after another, overall U.S. economic growth remains positive," Thredgold wrote. The national gross domestic product rose at an after-inflation annual rate of 3.9 percent in the third quarter, "the strongest quarterly growth pace in more than a year," he wrote.
Utah's unemployment rate of 2.7 percent compares with 2.9 percent in 2006, 4.3 percent in 2005, 5.1 percent in 2004 and 5.7 percent in 2003. The average rate was 3.5 percent between 1995 and 1999.
The state also added an estimated 53,500 jobs during the past year. "The 4.4 percent rise is one of the strongest annualized Utah gains in more than 10 years, and is the strongest job growth rate in the nation," Thredgold wrote, adding that the state gained 54,000 jobs in the prior year.
The nation added 166,000 net jobs in October, and the national unemployment rate remained at a 14-month high of 4.7 percent.
Thredgold noted that most forecasts for national GDP growth in the current quarter have it at a 1.5 percent to 2.2 percent real annual rate. "The consensus view has the economy also avoiding recession in 2008, with modest growth near a 2.0 percent real annual rate during the first quarter approaching a 2.8 percent to 3.0 percent real growth pace by the end of 2008," he wrote.
"We continue to suggest only a 25 percent chance of a U.S. recession during the next 12 months."
E-mail: bwallace@desnews.com
Comments
- Jazz brass debate Millsap match 12:17 a.m.
- Teacher faces new sex charges 12:09 a.m.
- BYU professor to work on Hebrew Bible 12:08 a.m.
- Mormon Times national calendar 12:08 a.m.
- John Calvin's 500th birthday 12:08 a.m.
- Dinner Diva: Frugal grocery tips 12:08 a.m.
- FlyLady: Why is home messy? 12:08 a.m.
- Pageants inspire thousands 12:07 a.m.
- Mormon Times mile run on July 18 12:07 a.m.
- Fiddling prodigies team up to win 12:07 a.m.
- LDS seminary principal arrested
- Reactions on Boozer speculation
- Jazz down Oklahoma City
- Jazz talking Boozer trade?
- Animals removed from filthy home
- Tainted beef sold in Utah stores
- Sleepy Ridge offers much for many
- 2 Tooele police officers fired
- Let's bid 'Eli Stone' a fond farewell
- Baseball teams fear 'haunted' hotel
- LDS seminary principal arrested
142 - Bronco collecting a galaxy of recruits
141 - Jazz talking Boozer trade?
136 - Blazers may offer Millsap a contract
123 - Stadium of Fire flag burning was fake
94 - Jazz brass debate Millsap match
88 - Fairness of BCS debated
81 - Chaffetz eyes challenging Bennett
74 - Letters: Single-payer system best
72 - Services bids farewell to Jackson
70
By now you've probably read about the investigation that showed just how...
The photographs are mysterious, brooding, dark. They show dimples and...
Didn't Obama and Biden just admit to the fact that the stimilus programs were...
The last part of the article about Cowherd is classic!!! I normally like the...
This man was my teacher in high school. He is my friend, he was like a father...
I like millsap, but portland just burried themselves. They made themselves...
It's amazing how quickly society is willing to vaccinate it's children with...
The first income tax was introduced during the Civil War, that's only 70...
If he really did what the evidence seems to show, I don't think he should be...
Utah needs Portland too much. It's much harder than you think to find good...
stacy, have you ever eaten there ??
I had Brother Pratt at Viewmont High School my sophomore year... I was really...



You can be the first to comment on this story.