Pignanelli: The halls of the nation's capital are buzzing with predictions regarding the fate of U.S. Attorney General Alberto Gonzales. Members of Congress and key staffers are stating that it is a matter of not if, but when, he resigns as a result of the U.S. attorney controversy. Indeed, even Republican officials are postulating that he will not last through May. Consequently, there is an interesting hypothetical percolating about who will replace the beleaguered Gonzales — which holds potential intrigue in Utah.

Two weeks ago, Sen. Orrin Hatch appeared on a Sunday morning news program to defend Gonzales. During the interview, there was an offhand remark whether Hatch would be willing to replace Gonzales. Without hesitation, the senator stated he would serve if asked by President Bush. A number of Washington political observers believe Hatch is "campaigning for attorney general" in the expectation of a Gonzales departure. Regardless of whether that is true, the mere existence of the rumors indicates Hatch is the center of speculation.

A nomination of Hatch to attorney general is a shrewd move. The Democratic-controlled U.S. Senate is a feisty place, and most nominees would be subject to relentless scrutiny. However, the senators are likely to be more generous to one of their own, especially the well-liked Hatch. Further, Hatch will be armed with tremendous knowledge gained through years of service on the Judiciary Committee. Prior to the 2006 elections, Hatch was in line to assume chairmanship of the powerful Finance Committee. But the Democrats are expected to remain in control after 2008, thus preventing Hatch from obtaining this leadership position. As attorney general, Hatch can depart from public life with honors for assisting the besieged Bush administration.

If Hatch is confirmed as attorney general, a vacancy opens in the U.S. Senate position. Then the fun begins. Technically, the Republican Central Committee will provide a list of three names for Gov. Jon Huntsman Jr. to select from to replace Hatch. (The governor also has the option to choose a name outside the list.) Under Utah law, the governor has this ability to choose himself. Thus, Huntsman may work the Central Committee to ensure his name is on the list or select himself regardless. This is a likely scenario for several reasons. Insiders believe Huntsman desires a return to Washington, D.C., to serve in some capacity — possibly in a John McCain administration. However, the McCain campaign is imploding. As a U.S. senator, Huntsman can serve some time — especially in international affairs — and eventually be appointed ambassador to China or to a Cabinet position. Of course, Huntsman will need to deal with other powerful Utahns who have been eyeing the seat (i.e., Mike Leavitt).